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Current Win Probability
Dornbirn 36.1%
Draw 25.6%
St. Pölten 38.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.1%
24.8%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.5%
22.6%
45.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dornbirn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dornbirn's performance.
St. Pölten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Pölten might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dornbirn than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dornbirn that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Pölten could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
33.3%
16.7%
Dornbirn - St. Pölten Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Dornbirn will win (votes: 6 - 50%). St. Pölten will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Dornbirn: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Odehnal J. (G) 18. William Rodrigues (C) 17. Marte R. 5. Marceta D. 3. Cavafe 10. Nussbaumer L. 8. Santin S. 20. Umjenovic S. 92. Fetahu A. 9. Tanque R. 22. Gabryel
13. Strasser P. (G) 3. Alexiev T. 19. Riegler D. 25. Salamon T. 37. Keiblinger J. 8. Messerer C. 11. Stendera M. 77. Barlov D. 9. Gschweidl B. (C) 14. Nitta R. 17. Tartarotti J.
Substitutes
39. Bitsche N. 27. Mandl F. 15. Mateusinho 14. Mischitz S. 23. Morscher R. (G) 30. Popovic L. 29. Rusch L.
21. Gschossmann F. (G) 7. Monzialo K. 6. Neumayer A. 18. Scharner B. 29. Sturm J. 27. Sukiasyan Y. 16. Wisak N.
Coaches
Orie E.
Witamwas C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Riegler D. ⚽, Salamon T. (A),
19', Salamon T. 🟨,
26', Marte R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Nitta R. ↓, Monzialo K. ↑,
46', Gabryel ↓, Mischitz S. ↑,
46', Cavafe ↓, Mateusinho ↑,
46', Marceta D. ↓, Mandl F. ↑,
46', Santin S. ↓, Bitsche N. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Keiblinger J. (Own goal),
61', Stendera M. ↓, Neumayer A. ↑,
61', Tartarotti J. ↓, Wisak N. ↑,
62', William Rodrigues 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Tanque R. ⚽, Marte R. (A),
70', 3 - 1, Tanque R. ⚽, Fetahu A. (A),
75', Barlov D. ↓, Sukiasyan Y. ↑,
75', Messerer C. ↓, Scharner B. ↑,
79', Sukiasyan Y. 🟨,
79', Fetahu A. ↓, Rusch L. ↑,
88', Keiblinger J. 🟨,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Dornbirn won 0.
Recent matches Dornbirn is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
St. Pölten has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Dornbirn won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Dornbirn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-12.