Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Miguel Morales (Pergamino)


	Douglas Haig		Sarmiento de La Banda

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.80	3.80
	1.85	3.10	3.95
	1.97	2.83	3.98
	1.99	2.97	4.03	Watch
	1.95	2.80	3.90
	1.98	3.23	3.91
	1.90	2.90	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.85)	2.95 ↓ (3.1)	3.9 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Douglas Haig
46.4%

Draw
30.6%

Sarmiento de La Banda
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

28.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

30.5%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Douglas Haig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Douglas Haig - Sarmiento de La Banda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ratalin G. (G) 6. Canela N. 8. Castellano J. 3. Cuello L. 11. Gimenez M. 2. Lopez L. 4. Magnago B. 5. Meza B. 9. Palacio J. 10. Pereira G. 7. Tus E.	1. Acuna F. (G) 4. Diaz C. 9. Gonzalez N. 5. Juarez N. 2. Nunez C. 3. Ochoa A. 10. Roldan I. 6. Sanchez M. 8. Tevez A. 11. Triverio G. 7. Veliz R.
Substitutes
20. Arriola C. 17. Baglivo G. L. 16. Caballo M. 19. Fiorito S. 14. Mauri M. 15. Ojeda L. 12. Perrone F. (G) 13. Pezzi A. 18. Schlotthauer M.	20. Bernal R. 18. Diaz Cantoni M. 19. Garzon I. 17. Gerez F. 13. Guzman G. 12. Mendonca J. (G) 16. Salto S. 15. Sanchez G. 14. Zaineddin L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Pereira G. 🟨,
27', Canela N. 🟨,
39', Triverio G. 🟨,
40', Ochoa A. ↓, Guzman G. ↑,
44', Roldan I. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Canela N. ↓, Mauri M. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Gonzalez N. ⚽,
57', 🟨,
59', Roldan I. ↓, Zaineddin L. ↑,
61', Pereira G. ↓, Arriola C. ↑,
61', Tus E. ↓, Schlotthauer M. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Schlotthauer M. ⚽,
67', Gonzalez N. ↓, Garzon I. ↑,
67', Veliz R. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Magnago B. ⚽,
78', 3 - 1, Mauri M. ⚽,
80', 🟨,
80', Baglivo G. L. 🟥,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sarmiento La Banda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Douglas Haig could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Douglas Haig won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Douglas Haig won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Douglas Haig	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Douglas Haig - General San Martín de Formosa	1:4 ✺
02.08.26	9 de Julio - Douglas Haig	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Douglas Haig - 9 de Julio	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Atlético Escobar - Douglas Haig	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLTWL
- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.08.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sol de América de Formosa	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Tucuman Central - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.25	Douglas Haig - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1

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