The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caxias 45.7%
Draw 31.3%
Internacional RS 23%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
30.6%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
30.9%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caxias's performance.
Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Internacional RS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caxias that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Internacional RS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Caxias - Internacional RS Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Internacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Caxias (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Caxias (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Leo Lang (G) 2. Ronei 3. Robles Fuentes A. 4. Mauricio Ribeiro 6. Roberto 5. Wellington Reis 8. Dudu Vieira 11. Calyson 10. Tomas Bastos (C) 7. Douglas Skilo 9. Jeam
24. Anthoni (C) 35. Aguirre B. 20. Clayton Sampaio 18. Juninho 30. Alisson 17. Bruno Tabata 5. Villagra R. 43. Marfo D. 44. Joao Victor 49. Joao Bezerra 31. Allex
2. Benitez A. 32. Diego Esser (G) 51. Gabriel Kempes Goncalves J. 47. Gustavo Prado 50. Kauan Alves 40. Lazaro 42. Pablo 46. Pedro Kaua 48. Raykkonen 29. Thiago Maia 37. Yago
Coaches
Fernando Marchiori
Pezzolano P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Wellington Reis 🟨,
19', Mauricio Ribeiro 🟥,
23', Calyson ↓, Joilson ↑,
25', Douglas Skilo 🟨,
39', Marfo D. 🟨,
43', Marfo D. ↓, Thiago Maia ↑,
45+6', Alisson 🟨,
45+8', Villagra R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alisson ↓, Pablo ↑,
46', Wellington Reis ↓, Jhonatan Ribeiro ↑,
46', Joao Victor ↓, Gustavo Prado ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Gustavo Prado ⚽,
64', Villagra R. ↓, Kauan Alves ↑,
66', Clayton Sampaio 🟨,
68', Thiago Maia 🟨,
71', Jeam ↓, Gustavo Nescau ↑,
71', Douglas Skilo ↓, Andrew ↑,
81', Roberto ↓, Vitinho ↑,
87', Robles Fuentes A. 🟨,
89', Bruno Tabata ↓, Gabriel Kempes Goncalves J. ↑,
Preview
Caxias is Qualified for Gaucho (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Internacional is Qualified for Gaucho (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Caxias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:27. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Caxias won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
Brazil
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Leo Lang (G) 
Robles Fuentes A. 
Aguirre B. 
Marfo D. 
Benitez A. 
Pezzolano P. 
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