The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guarany de Bagé 37.5%
Draw 31.9%
Caxias 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
32.3%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
33.6%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Guarany de Bagé - Caxias Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jonathan (G) 4. Bruno Cardoso 5. David Cunha 23. Fabao 11. Jean Lucca 6. Joao Victor 10. Luiz Felipe 8. Murilo 7. Rogerio Sena 2. Talles 9. Yan Philippe
32. Victor Golas (G) 3. Alisson 7. Gabriel Lima 21. Kelvyn 4. Lucas Cunha 77. Nicholas 27. Pedro Cuiaba 90. Richard 15. Ronei 10. Tomas Bastos 23. Vinicius Guedes
Substitutes
16. Allan 22. Douglas Dias (G) 17. Janderson 15. Joao Vitor (G) 19. Luquinha . Marcelinho 20. Marllon 13. Matheus Pires 18. Ronald 14. Saulo 3. Ze Pedro
25. Calyson 14. Carlos Henrique 22. Debortoli Mignoni A. 44. Douglas 43. Guilherme Mantuan 5. Lorran 6. Marcelo 31. Matheus Silva (G) 12. Zilio R. (G)
Coaches
Nunes M.
Luizinho Vieira
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
38', Pedro Cuiaba 🟨,
44', Alisson 🟨,
45+2', Kelvyn 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Lorran ↑,
46', Jean Lucca ↓, Souza L. ↑,
46', Kelvyn ↓, Marcelo ↑,
57', Gabriel Lima ↓, Calyson ↑,
60', Murilo ↓, Victor Oliveira ↑,
60', Luiz Felipe ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
68', Rogerio Sena ↓, Janderson ↑,
77', Vinicius Guedes ↓, Guilherme Mantuan ↑,
83', David Cunha ↓, Allan ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Caxias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Guarany de Bagé have a series of guest games.
Caxias will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Guarany de Bagé won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Guarany de Bagé won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).