Match Info

National League South - Round 39

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Dover Athletic		Chippenham Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.35	3.05
	2.33	3.45	2.9
	2.07	3.42	3.41	Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.9
	2.28	3.41	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2)	3.38 ↓ (3.67)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
41.9%

Draw
27.5%

Chippenham Town
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

25%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

24.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Chippenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dover Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Dover Athletic - Chippenham Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dover (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
73', 0 - 1, Chukwu A. ⚽,
84', 1 - 1, Nikaj G. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Dover will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dover won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Dover won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Dover	10	5	2	3	17:16	1	17

Last Results with these Odds

Chippenham Town - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.13%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League South
10.03.26	Dover Athletic - Tonbridge Angels	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Slough Town - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Dover Athletic - Hornchurch	4:1 ✺
21.02.26	Dover Athletic - Weston-super-Mare	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLTWT
- Chippenham Town
English National League South
10.03.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chippenham Town	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Chippenham Town - Enfield Town	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Chippenham Town - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
25.02.26	Farnborough - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Tonbridge Angels - Chippenham Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.10.25	Chippenham Town - Dover Athletic	1:1
24.02.24	Chippenham Town - Dover Athletic	2:1
02.09.23	Dover Athletic - Chippenham Town	1:1
11.03.23	Chippenham Town - Dover Athletic	3:1
12.11.22	Dover Athletic - Chippenham Town	1:1

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