The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hemel Hempstead Town 48%
Draw 27.2%
Chippenham Town 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.7%
24.4%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
24%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hemel Hempstead Town's form might have worsened.
Chippenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hemel Hempstead Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Hemel Hempstead Town - Chippenham Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Bradbury C. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Noel-Williams I. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 2, Parsons H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 2 - 2, Williams G. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, Gray J. ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Chippenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Hemel Hempstead is considered a favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Hemel Hempstead won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.8:1.4).
Outrights of English National League South for now
Hemel Hempstead: 2.3%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Hemel Hempstead
10
3
4
3
10:10
0
13
Last Results with these Odds
Chippenham Town - the odds 4.23 are the expected chance of winning is 21.95%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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