Match Info

National League South - Round 24

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday


	Dover Athletic		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.55	2.02
	3.23	3.89	1.99	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2
	3.38	3.5	1.93
	3.2	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.74)	3.59 ↓ (3.6)	1.99 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
28.3%

Draw
25.6%

Ebbsfleet United
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

25.8%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

25.1%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Dover Athletic - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Edser T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Coker K. ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, Samuel D. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dover won 1.

Dover has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ebbsfleet is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ebbsfleet will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dover won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dover won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League South
26.12.25	Maidstone United - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Dover Athletic - Eastbourne Borough	2:5 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Dover Athletic - Hornchurch	1:4 ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Chesham United - Dover Athletic	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Dover Athletic - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWW
- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
26.12.25	Ebbsfleet United - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Chelmsford City - Ebbsfleet United	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Ebbsfleet United - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Ebbsfleet United - Worthing	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Farnborough - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
14.01.23	Dover Athletic - Ebbsfleet United	1:2
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Ebbsfleet United - Dover Athletic	2:0
English National League South
29.08.22	Ebbsfleet United - Dover Athletic	3:0
English National League
28.12.19	Ebbsfleet United - Dover Athletic	0:1
03.09.19	Dover Athletic - Ebbsfleet United	1:1
22.04.19	Ebbsfleet United - Dover Athletic	0:1
04.09.18	Dover Athletic - Ebbsfleet United	1:1

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