Match Info

National League South - Round 21

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)


	Ebbsfleet United		Worthing

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.58
	2.47	3.51	2.67
	2.41	3.68	2.61	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.6
	2.38	3.36	2.55
	2.4	3.33	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.47)	3.43 ↓ (3.73)	2.61 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
38%

Draw
26.8%

Worthing
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.9%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

24.6%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Ebbsfleet United - Worthing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Dolaghan B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 2, Coleman De-Graft R. (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', 1 - 2, Samuel D. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Ebbsfleet has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Worthing is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:2. (average 5.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ebbsfleet won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 5.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Ebbsfleet United - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.56%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
29.11.25	Farnborough - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Ebbsfleet United - Horsham	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Ebbsfleet United - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Weston-super-Mare - Ebbsfleet United	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Ebbsfleet United - Sittingbourne	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLWLW
- Worthing FC
English National League South
29.11.25	Worthing - Hornchurch	5:0 ✺
25.11.25	Torquay United - Worthing	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Slough Town - Worthing	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Tonbridge Angels - Worthing	0:4 ✺
English National League South
11.11.25	Worthing - Totton	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
07.03.23	Ebbsfleet United - Worthing	7:2
06.12.22	Worthing - Ebbsfleet United	0:6
English FA Cup
20.10.18	Ebbsfleet United - Worthing	4:0

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