Match Info

National League South - Round 22

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Chelmsford City		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.25	2.72
	2.34	3.34	2.84
	2.47	3.54	2.62	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.63
	2.43	3.15	2.62
	2.5	3.25	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.45)	3.27 ↓ (3.43)	2.68 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
37.6%

Draw
28.1%

Ebbsfleet United
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27.1%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

26.4%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Chelmsford City - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Samuel D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 0.

Chelmsford is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Ebbsfleet has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Ebbsfleet has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmsford won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
13.12.25	Eastbourne Borough - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Chelmsford City - Weston-super-Mare	0:2 ✺
English National League South
29.11.25	Chelmsford City - Torquay United	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Salisbury - Chelmsford City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL
- Ebbsfleet United
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Ebbsfleet United - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Ebbsfleet United - Worthing	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Farnborough - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Ebbsfleet United - Horsham	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Ebbsfleet United - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
19.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	1:0
25.02.23	Chelmsford City - Ebbsfleet United	0:1
17.01.23	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	2:0
07.05.22	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	2:1
30.08.21	Chelmsford City - Ebbsfleet United	0:0
13.05.17	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	2:1
21.01.17	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	2:0

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