Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 8

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)


	Wrexham		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	5.5
	1.6	4.2	5
	1.59	4.38	5.52
	1.5	3.9	4.75
	1.58	4.25	5.3	Watch
	1.59	4.1	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.73)	4.14 ↑ (4.03)	5.16 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
59.4%

Draw
22.5%

Grimsby Town
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

23.5%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

23.1%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wrexham - Grimsby Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Howard M. (G) 29. Barnett R. 5. Hayden A. 4. Tozer B. 25. Boyle W. 23. McClean J. 22. O'Connor T. 8. Young L. 38. Lee E. 9. Palmer O. 10. Mullin P.	12. Eastwood J. (G) 28. Mullarkey T. 5. Rodgers H. 31. Maher N. 22. Amos D. 14. Gnahoua A. 8. Holohan G. 42. Conteh K. 15. Clifton H. 6. Waterfall L. 9. Pyke R.
Substitutes
18. Dalby S. 7. Davies J. 12. Evans G. 26. Fletcher S. 30. Jones J. 19. Mendy J. 33. Okonkwo A. (G)	111. Ainley C. 19. Andrews J. 1. Cartwright H. (G) 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 2. Efete M. 222. Gardner C. 11. Khan O.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Hurst P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 1.

Wrexham is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Grimsby is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
09.09.23	Wrexham - Doncaster Rovers	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Wrexham - Newcastle United U21	1:0 ✺
English League Two
02.09.23	Tranmere Rovers - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Wrexham - Bradford City	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
26.08.23	Barrow - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLT
- Grimsby Town
English League Two
09.09.23	Bradford City - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Barnsley - Grimsby Town	2:0 ✺
English League Two
02.09.23	Grimsby Town - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.08.23	Grimsby Town - Manchester City U21	2:3 penalties ✺
English League Two
26.08.23	Walsall - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
28.05.22	Wrexham - Grimsby Town	4:5 ET
25.01.22	Wrexham - Grimsby Town	1:0
14.09.21	Grimsby Town - Wrexham	3:1
26.03.16	Grimsby Town - Wrexham	1:0
22.09.15	Wrexham - Grimsby Town	0:0
11.04.15	Grimsby Town - Wrexham	0:1
11.10.14	Wrexham - Grimsby Town	0:1

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