Match Info

National League South - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Dover Athletic		Hampton & Richmond Borough

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.7	3.35
	1.89	3.99	3.51
	4.62	3.61	1.72	Watch
	1.9	3.64	3.56
	1.82	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.8)	3.74 ↓ (3.85)	3.15 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
41.3%

Draw
26.8%

Hampton & Richmond Borough
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

23.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

23.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dover Athletic's form might have worsened.

Hampton & Richmond Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hampton & Richmond Borough's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dover Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hampton & Richmond Borough than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hampton & Richmond Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dover Athletic - Hampton & Richmond Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Fasanmade C. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Fasanmade C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, Soares Jr. R. ⚽,
53', 1 - 3, Gardner H. ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, Sheriff D. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 3, Coker K. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dover won 2.

Dover is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hampton & Richmond is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dover will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Dover won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dover won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Hampton & Richmond Borough - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 25.41%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Farnborough - Dover Athletic	4:1 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Farnborough - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Dover Athletic - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Dover Athletic - Maidenhead United	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Torquay United - Dover Athletic	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTLL
- Hampton & Richmond Borough
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Croydon Athletic	4:2 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Chippenham Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1 ✺
02.09.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Torquay United	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Ebbsfleet United	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Chesham United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
13.04.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dover Athletic	1:0
04.11.23	Dover Athletic - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:1
18.03.23	Dover Athletic - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:3
26.11.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dover Athletic	0:2
27.03.12	Dover Athletic - Hampton & Richmond Borough	N/A

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