The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dover Athletic 22.9%
Draw 25.5%
Hartlepool United 51.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.9%
25.2%
51.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19%
20.9%
62.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Dover Athletic have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartlepool United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dover Athletic - Hartlepool United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion to National League (Play Offs: Semitofinals)).
Dover is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Hartlepool is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Dover could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Hartlepool is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Dover won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Dover won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.