Match Info

Date: 28 December 2020, Monday


	Notts County		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.33
	1.75	3.6	4.2
	1.82	3.65	3.7
	1.79	3.6	4
	1.8	3.93	4.41
	1.73	3.6	4.2
	1.81	3.78	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.04)	3.7 ↑ (3.53)	4.14 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
52.4%

Draw
25.2%

Hartlepool United
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

20%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notts County's performance.

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hartlepool United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.1%	12.5%	9.4%

Notts County - Hartlepool United Predictions

Users Predictions: Notts County will win (25 of 32 users predict this - 78.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.81% – 92.45%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to National League (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 3 in the zone Promotion to National League (Play Offs: Semitofinals)).

Notts County is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hartlepool is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hartlepool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Notts County is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Notts County won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English FA Trophy
19.12.20	Morpeth Town - Notts County	0:3 ✺
English National League
15.12.20	Notts County - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
08.12.20	Notts County - Boreham Wood	0:1 ✺
05.12.20	Notts County - Woking	1:0 ✺
02.12.20	Dagenham & Redbridge - Notts County	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWT
- Hartlepool United
English National League
26.12.20	Hartlepool United - Halifax Town	3:1 ✺
22.12.20	Hartlepool United - Stockport County	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.12.20	Halifax Town - Hartlepool United	4:3 penalties ✺
English National League
12.12.20	Woking - Hartlepool United	3:0 ✺
08.12.20	Hartlepool United - King`s Lynn Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
22.02.20	Hartlepool United - Notts County	2:0
02.11.19	Notts County - Hartlepool United	2:2
English League Two
11.03.17	Notts County - Hartlepool United	2:1
20.08.16	Hartlepool United - Notts County	1:2
12.04.16	Notts County - Hartlepool United	1:0
16.02.16	Hartlepool United - Notts County	2:3
English FA Cup
09.11.13	Hartlepool United - Notts County	3:2

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