Match Info

Date: 23 January 2021, Saturday


	Weymouth		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	7	3.8	1.4
	6.75	4.4	1.38	Watch
	6.2	4.3	1.44
	6.75	4.45	1.47
	6.5	4	1.47
	6.8	4.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.67 ↑ (4.5)	4.26 ↑ (3.61)	1.43 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
13.9%

Draw
21.7%

Hartlepool United
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

25.6%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

21.7%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Weymouth's form might have worsened.

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hartlepool United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Weymouth - Hartlepool United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion to National League (Play Offs: Semitofinals)).

Weymouth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hartlepool is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Weymouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Weymouth have a series of home games.

In this match Hartlepool is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English FA Trophy
16.01.21	Weymouth - Darlington	0:1 ✺
English National League
05.01.21	Weymouth - Yeovil Town	0:3 ✺
02.01.21	Weymouth - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
28.12.20	Weymouth - Torquay United	3:4 ✺
26.12.20	Eastleigh - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTLT
- Hartlepool United
English National League
09.01.21	Hartlepool United - Wealdstone	3:1 ✺
28.12.20	Notts County - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
26.12.20	Hartlepool United - Halifax Town	3:1 ✺
22.12.20	Hartlepool United - Stockport County	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.12.20	Halifax Town - Hartlepool United	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWL

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