Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 23

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Pioneros de Cancún		Deportiva Venados

	1	X	2
	3.19	3.32	2.04
	3.17	3.48	2.07
	3.1	3.4	2
	3.12	3.74	2.03
	3	3.25	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (3)	3.44 ↑ (3.25)	2.04 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pioneros de Cancún
29.1%

Draw
26.4%

Deportiva Venados
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.4%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.8%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pioneros de Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Deportiva Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Pioneros de Cancún aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportiva Venados than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Pioneros de Cancún - Deportiva Venados Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 2 - 1, ⚽,
54', 2 - 2, ⚽,
57', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ))

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Deportiva Venados might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pioneros de Cancún won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pioneros de Cancún won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pioneros de Cancún
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.03.26	Neza - Pioneros de Cancún	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Dragones Toluca	3:1 ✺
20.02.26	Cañoneros Marina - Pioneros de Cancún	3:2 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Jaguares de Chiapas	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Montañeses - Pioneros de Cancún	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL
- Deportiva Venados
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.03.26	Deportiva Venados - Jaguares de Chiapas	4:1 ✺
01.03.26	Montañeses - Deportiva Venados	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Deportiva Venados - Inter Playa Del Carmen	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Héroes de Zaci - Deportiva Venados	1:4 ✺
07.02.26	Deportiva Venados - Celaya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.10.25	Deportiva Venados - Pioneros de Cancún	2:3 penalties
08.02.25	Pioneros de Cancún - Deportiva Venados	1:2
05.10.24	Deportiva Venados - Pioneros de Cancún	2:0
10.02.24	Deportiva Venados - Pioneros de Cancún	2:1
11.09.23	Pioneros de Cancún - Deportiva Venados	1:1

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