Match Info

ASIA: Gulf Club Champions League - Round 3

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Duhok Stadium (Duhok)


	Duhok		Al-Nasr

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.9	1.65
	4.2	4	1.63
	4.33	3.95	1.71
	4.35	3.86	1.67	Watch
	4.11	3.82	1.69
	4.2	4	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (3.21)	3.92 ↑ (3.68)	1.66 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duhok
21.8%

Draw
23.3%

Al-Nasr
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

24.7%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

23.9%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duhok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Duhok's form might have worsened.

Al-Nasr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Nasr's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duhok than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duhok, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Nasr, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Duhok - Al Nasr Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Salih M. (G) 3. Artien M. 28. Darwiche K. 77. El Bahri C. 7. Gwargis P. 5. Hzair A. 52. Moises Lucas 27. Othman B. 20. Saeed M. 80. Zakri Y. (C) 10. Zubair H.	40. Al Tamimi A. (G) 41. Ahmed N. 31. Amzar C. 26. Boussaid O. 8. Fer L. 11. Gabbiadini M. 4. Glauber 9. Jshak A. 7. Mabkhout A. 2. Mohamed Ali A. 6. Sadiq H.
Substitutes
11. Abdulla P. 45. Acquah R. 99. Ageed S. 25. Allee Z. 12. Bashar A. (G) 33. Jaafar Z. (G) 17. Jarallah H. 19. Kazem A. 9. Koomson G. 55. Mohsin A. 23. Ribaz R.	87. Ahmed A. (G) 15. Al Ameri Y. 60. Al-Shammari A. 80. Al Somhi S. 19. Felipe Motta 3. Gustavo 94. Juninho 75. Osama Z. 28. Toure A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Glauber 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Zakri Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mohamed Ali A. ↓, Al Ameri Y. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Mabkhout A. (Pen),
71', Artien M. 🟨,
75', Gwargis P. 🟨,
76', Zakri Y. ↓, Acquah R. ↑,
76', El Bahri C. ↓, Abdulla P. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Glauber ⚽, Boussaid O. (A),
81', Othman B. ↓, Ageed S. ↑,
86', Amzar C. 🟨,
86', Mahdi H. ↓, Gustavo ↑,
86', Mabkhout A. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Acquah R. ⚽, Abdulla P. (A),
90+6', Darwiche K. ↓, Koomson G. ↑,
90+8', Ahmed N. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Al-Nasr could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al-Nasr is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duhok
Gulf Club Champions League
06.11.24	Dhofar - Duhok	1:1 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
02.11.24	Duhok - Al-Karkh	1:3 ✺
30.10.24	Zakho - Duhok	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Najaf - Duhok	0:1 ✺
27.09.24	Duhok - Arbil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTWL
- Al-Nasr SC
UAE Football League
22.11.24	Al-Sharjah - Al-Nasr	3:0 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
06.11.24	Al-Ahli Sanaa - Al-Nasr	1:3 ✺
UAE Football League
01.11.24	Al-Nasr - Al-Wahda	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Al Bataeh - Al-Nasr	3:4 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
18.10.24	Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTWL

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