Match Info

Stars League - Round 23

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Duhok Stadium (Duhok)


	Duhok		Arbil

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.92	2.68
	2.55	3.04	2.69	Watch
	2.5	3	2.6
	2.62	3.14	2.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.56)	3.03 ↓ (3.06)	2.67 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duhok
35.8%

Draw
30.1%

Arbil
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

29.9%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.4%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duhok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Arbil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duhok than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Duhok - Arbil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
67', 0 - 1, Barco C. (Penalty Awarded),
84', 0 - 2, Temirov S. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duhok won 1.

Recent performances by Duhok have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arbil is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Duhok won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Duhok won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Erbil	8	5	2	1	12:3	9	17
9	Duhok	8	1	6	1	11:11	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duhok
Iraqi Premier League
14.03.26	Al-Karkh - Duhok	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Duhok - Al-Shorta Baghdad	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Duhok - Newroz	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Al-Gharraf - Duhok	4:3 ✺
13.02.26	Duhok - Al Mosul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLT
- Arbil
Iraqi Premier League
13.03.26	Arbil - Al-Minaa	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Al-Karma - Arbil	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Qasim - Arbil	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Arbil - Zakho	0:1 ✺
05.02.26	Arbil - Al-Naft	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
13.01.26	Arbil - Duhok	2:1
25.06.25	Arbil - Duhok	2:1
27.09.24	Duhok - Arbil	0:1
23.06.24	Duhok - Arbil	2:1
08.03.24	Arbil - Duhok	1:1
24.07.13	Arbil - Duhok	0:1

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