Match Info

Stars League - Round 31

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday


	Najaf		Duhok

	1	X	2
	4.85	3.3	1.65
	4.43	3.3	1.71
	5.05	3.55	1.63	Watch
	4.8	3.1	1.67
	5.24	3.5	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↑ (4.06)	3.35 ↓ (3.45)	1.65 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Najaf
18.5%

Draw
26.9%

Duhok
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

26.6%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

24%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Najaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Duhok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Najaf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duhok than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duhok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Najaf - Duhok Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Duhok will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Najaf (3.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Najaf (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+5', 0 - 1, Gwargis P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 1 - 1, Louay A. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 2, Zhiar I. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Najaf may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Duhok is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Najaf won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Najaf won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Duhok	8	1	6	1	11:11	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
17.04.26	Najaf - Newroz	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Najaf - Al-Karma	0:3 ✺
08.04.26	Al-Talaba - Najaf	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Najaf - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:3 ✺
31.03.26	Al-Gharraf - Najaf	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLLL
- Duhok
Iraqi Premier League
23.04.26	Duhok - Al-Gharraf	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Duhok - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Amanat Baghdad - Duhok	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Al-Karma - Duhok	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Duhok - Al-Talaba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
23.12.25	Duhok - Najaf	1:0
13.06.25	Duhok - Najaf	1:1
06.10.24	Najaf - Duhok	0:1
24.07.24	Duhok - Najaf	1:0
24.11.23	Duhok - Najaf	1:0

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