Match Info

Date: 26 January 2022, Wednesday


	Duisburg		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.75	1.95
	3.4	3.75	1.95
	3.3	3.55	2
	3.3	3.55	2.02
	3.56	3.85	2.03
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	3.4	3.78	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.89)	3.65 ↑ (3.51)	1.99 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
27.7%

Draw
25.5%

Magdeburg
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

25.7%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

20.9%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Duisburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Magdeburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Duisburg - Magdeburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Recent matches Duisburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Magdeburg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Magdeburg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Duisburg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
23.01.22	Duisburg - Saarbrücken	3:4 ✺
14.01.22	TSV Havelse - Duisburg	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.22	Fortuna Köln - Duisburg	2:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
11.12.21	Duisburg - Verl	2:2 ✺
05.12.21	Freiburg II - Duisburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTTL
- FC Magdeburg
German 3 Bundesliga
23.01.22	Magdeburg - TSV Havelse	1:1 ✺
15.01.22	Freiburg II - Magdeburg	2:3 ✺
19.12.21	Magdeburg - Waldhof Mannheim	3:0 ✺
15.12.21	Zwickau - Magdeburg	1:1 ✺
11.12.21	Magdeburg - Osnabrück	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
21.08.21	Magdeburg - Duisburg	2:1
08.05.21	Magdeburg - Duisburg	3:2
20.01.21	Duisburg - Magdeburg	1:2
06.03.20	Duisburg - Magdeburg	1:0
13.09.19	Magdeburg - Duisburg	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
01.03.19	Duisburg - Magdeburg	1:0
26.09.18	Magdeburg - Duisburg	3:3

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