Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 8

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena (Duisburg)

Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Duisburg		Preußen Münster

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.4	2.38
	2.7	3.5	2.35
	2.75	3.6	2.35	Watch
	2.78	3.68	2.49
	2.6	3.5	2.25
	2.63	3.64	2.36	Watch
	2.6	3.45	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.42)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	2.36 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
34.6%

Draw
26.1%

Preußen Münster
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

26.3%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Preußen Münster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Duisburg - Preußen Münster Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Münster will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duisburg: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muller V. (G) 21. Feltscher R. 29. Bitter J. 17. Knoll M. (C) 2. Mogultay B. 18. Jander C. 5. Castaneda S. 16. Michelbrink J. 40. Esswein A. 31. Girth B. 19. Ekene C.	35. Schulze M. (G) 24. Koulis N. 42. Hahn A. 18. Lorenz M. (C) 32. Bazzoli L. 7. Kyerewaa D. 21. Preissinger R. 26. Mrowca S. 3. Bockle B. 9. Grodowski J. 14. Wooten A.
Substitutes
8. Anhari H. 6. Bakalorz M. 24. Braune M. (G) 15. Fleckstein T. 27. Konig P. 14. Kopke P. 22. Kother T. 4. Senger M. 23. Stierlin N.	23. Batmaz M. 49. Benjamins M. 5. Bouchama Y. 11. Deters T. 8. Ghindovean D. 40. Schenk J. (G) 15. Scherder S. 27. ter Horst J. 25. Wegkamp G.
Coaches
Vural E.	Hildmann S.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 4.

Duisburg has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Münster is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Münster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Duisburg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
27.09.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Duisburg	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Viktoria Köln - Duisburg	2:0 ✺
15.09.23	Duisburg - Verl	2:3 ✺
03.09.23	Jahn Regensburg - Duisburg	2:1 ✺
25.08.23	Duisburg - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Preußen Münster
German DFB Pokal
26.09.23	Preußen Münster - Bayern Munich	0:4 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
23.09.23	Preußen Münster - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Sandhausen - Preußen Münster	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.09.23	Hannover - Preußen Münster	1:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
02.09.23	Preußen Münster - Waldhof Mannheim	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
01.02.20	Preußen Münster - Duisburg	1:4
31.07.19	Duisburg - Preußen Münster	2:0
12.02.17	Duisburg - Preußen Münster	3:2
10.08.16	Preußen Münster - Duisburg	1:1
03.05.15	Duisburg - Preußen Münster	2:1
02.11.14	Preußen Münster - Duisburg	1:0
10.05.14	Duisburg - Preußen Münster	0:1

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