Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 9

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Rote Erde (Dortmund)

Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Borussia Dortmund II		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.2	3.5	3
	2.2	3.6	3	Watch
	2.22	3.69	3.21
	2.15	3.5	2.8
	2.14	3.6	2.99
	2.2	3.45	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.03)	3.51 ↓ (3.77)	2.99 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
42.5%

Draw
26.4%

Duisburg
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

25.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

25.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	35.3%	11.8%

Borussia Dortmund II - Duisburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Duisburg will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia Dortmund II: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Lotka M. (G) 17. Gobel P. 21. Blank H. 18. Papadopoulos A. 3. Bueno G. 6. Azhil A. 30. Pohlmann O. 14. Eberwein M. 10. Michel F. 22. Besong P. 20. Hettwer J.	1. Muller V. (G) 21. Feltscher R. 29. Bitter J. 26. Mai S. 4. Senger M. 2. Mogultay B. 23. Stierlin N. 18. Jander C. 5. Castaneda S. 19. Ekene C. 22. Kother T.
Substitutes
7. Bamba S. 11. Butler J. 27. Elongo-Yombo R. 33. Estevao T. (G) 32. Kamara A. 29. Nischalke J. 23. Pfanne F. 13. Pudel B. 8. Roggow F.	8. Anhari H. 6. Bakalorz M. 24. Braune M. (G) 15. Fleckstein T. 31. Girth B. 17. Knoll M. 14. Kopke P. 16. Michelbrink J. 20. Muller R.
Coaches
Zimmermann J.	Ziegner T.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 4.

Recent matches Borussia Dortmund II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Duisburg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Borussia Dortmund II will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia Dortmund II won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
23.09.23	Verl - Borussia Dortmund II	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Viktoria Köln	2:1 ✺
01.09.23	Saarbrücken - Borussia Dortmund II	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Dynamo Dresden	0:2 ✺
23.08.23	Jahn Regensburg - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLLT
- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
23.09.23	Viktoria Köln - Duisburg	2:0 ✺
15.09.23	Duisburg - Verl	2:3 ✺
03.09.23	Jahn Regensburg - Duisburg	2:1 ✺
25.08.23	Duisburg - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
22.08.23	Hallescher - Duisburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
08.04.23	Duisburg - Borussia Dortmund II	0:5
16.10.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Duisburg	2:0
06.02.22	Duisburg - Borussia Dortmund II	1:3
29.08.21	Borussia Dortmund II - Duisburg	4:1
Club Friendly
12.07.18	Duisburg - Borussia Dortmund II	3:0
German 3 Bundesliga
21.03.15	Borussia Dortmund II - Duisburg	1:4
22.02.14	Borussia Dortmund II - Duisburg	2:0

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