Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 35

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena (Duisburg)

Referee: Sather A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Duisburg		Sandhausen

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.55	3.5	2.5
	2.5	3.5	2.6
	2.54	3.67	2.71
	2.54	3.67	2.69
	2.4	3.5	2.45
	2.5	3.54	2.51	Watch
	2.55	3.35	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.77)	3.48 ↓ (3.55)	2.57 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
37.1%

Draw
26.7%

Sandhausen
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

26.3%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

25.7%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	40%	30%

Duisburg - Sandhausen Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Sandhausen will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Braune M. (G) 29. Bitter J. 15. Fleckstein T. 17. Knoll M. (C) 11. Kolle N. 39. Engin A. 16. Michelbrink J. 5. Castaneda S. 40. Esswein A. 10. Pledl T. 31. Girth B.	30. Klein D. (G) 19. Zander L. 21. Gottlicher F. 2. Girdvainis E. 4. Knipping T. (C) 31. Weik J. 15. Muhling A. 6. El-Zein A. 26. Ben Balla Y. 24. Greil P. 23. Pink M.
Substitutes
6. Bakalorz M. 9. Bakir A. 21. Feltscher R. 36. Inanoglu K. 22. Kother T. 1. Muller V. (G) 7. Pusch K. 4. Senger M. 23. Stierlin N.	18. Diekmeier D. 3. Ehlich C. 9. Evina F. 22. Konigsmann T. (G) 20. Maciejewski T. 8. Meier R. 17. Otto D. 7. Richardson J. 5. Schuster L.
Coaches
Schubert U.	Keller J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Girth B. 🟨,
10', Muhling A. 🟨,
21', Muhling A. (Pen),
29', 1 - 0, Esswein A. (Pen),
32', 2 - 0, Girth B. ⚽, Engin A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', El-Zein A. ↓, Richardson J. ↑,
46', Girdvainis E. ↓, Otto D. ↑,
46', Ben Balla Y. ↓, Maciejewski T. ↑,
57', Michelbrink J. 🟨,
59', Bitter J. 🟨,
61', Pink M. ↓, Meier R. ↑,
61', Girth B. ↓, Inanoglu K. ↑,
62', Knipping T. 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, Maciejewski T. ⚽, Muhling A. (A),
74', Gottlicher F. 🟨,
74', Michelbrink J. ↓, Stierlin N. ↑,
77', Pledl T. ↓, Bakir A. ↑,
77', Esswein A. ↓, Kother T. ↑,
77', Engin A. ↓, Feltscher R. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Bitter J. ⚽, Bakir A. (A),
84', Zander L. ↓, Diekmeier D. ↑,
90+5', Castaneda S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 1.

Duisburg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sandhausen is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Duisburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Duisburg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Duisburg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
20.04.24	Ingolstadt - Duisburg	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	Duisburg - Waldhof Mannheim	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Duisburg	4:1 ✺
31.03.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Duisburg	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Duisburg - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLLW
- SV Sandhausen
German 3 Bundesliga
19.04.24	Sandhausen - Arminia Bielefeld	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Saarbrücken - Sandhausen	4:1 ✺
06.04.24	Sandhausen - Borussia Dortmund II	3:2 ✺
31.03.24	Verl - Sandhausen	4:4 ✺
17.03.24	Sandhausen - Unterhaching	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
25.11.23	Sandhausen - Duisburg	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
20.04.19	Duisburg - Sandhausen	2:2
09.11.18	Sandhausen - Duisburg	0:0
14.04.18	Duisburg - Sandhausen	0:2
03.11.17	Sandhausen - Duisburg	0:1
08.05.16	Sandhausen - Duisburg	2:2
29.11.15	Duisburg - Sandhausen	3:0

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