Match Info

Chance Liga - 7th-10th places - Semi-finals

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Town Stadium Karvina (Karvina)

Referee: Machalek J. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1


	Karviná		Pardubice

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.75
	2.51	3.4	2.97
	2.41	3.26	2.87	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.75
	2.44	3.13	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.34)	3.33 ↓ (3.33)	2.83 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karviná
38.9%

Draw
28%

Pardubice
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

27.7%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

28.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Karviná - Pardubice Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Karviná will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Pardubice will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pardubice (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lapes J. (G) 6. Bohac S. 44. Skyba Y. 49. Camara S. 25. Fleisman J. (C) 99. Prebsl F. 4. Traore A. 11. Kacor P. 10. Samko D. 3. Lawali Y. 26. Ezeh L.	30. Mandous A. (G) 12. Tredl J. 44. Bammens S. 32. Konecny M. 40. Boledovic T. 19. Hlavaty M. 18. Misek S. 39. Kopasek S. 8. Patrak V. (C) 35. Samuel V. 28. Tanko A.
Substitutes
24. Chytry J. 31. Conde O. 29. Fiala J. 20. Kahuan Vinicius 93. Konate F. 8. Kristan J. 9. Labik A. 19. Milic N. 34. Mrozek O. (G) 1. Neuman V. (G) 21. Sloncik S.	15. Godwin E. 5. Hamza J. 16. Jelinek T. 99. Kharatishvili L. (G) 17. Krobot L. 25. Mahuta R. 77. Saarma R. 9. Smekal D. 21. Urban T. 10. Vecheta F. 11. Zima J.
Coaches
Jarolim M.	Trousil J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Patrak V. ⚽, Samuel V. (A),
45', 1 - 1, Samko D. ⚽, Camara S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, Samuel V. ⚽, Tanko A. (A),
62', Hlavaty M. ↓, Jelinek T. ↑,
62', Kopasek S. ↓, Godwin E. ↑,
62', Samuel V. ↓, Smekal D. ↑,
67', Lawali Y. ↓, Kristan J. ↑,
67', Traore A. ↓, Kahuan Vinicius ↑,
69', Prebsl F. 🟨,
75', Prebsl F. ↓, Milic N. ↑,
75', Kacor P. ↓, Fiala J. ↑,
77', Patrak V. ↓, Zima J. ↑,
79', Tredl J. 🟨,
86', Camara S. ↓, Sloncik S. ↑,
90+1', Boledovic T. ↓, Mahuta R. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 2.

Recent performances by Karviná have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pardubice is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Karviná may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Karviná: Labik A. (Health problems) Sigut S. (Suspended) Storman R. (Injury)

There will not play in Pardubice: Simek S. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Karviná: Kacor P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Pardubice: Solil T. (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).

Outrights of Czech 1 Liga for now

FK Pardubice: 0.8%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	FK Pardubice	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Karviná
Czech 1 Liga
25.04.26	Karviná - Mladá Boleslav	0:3 ✺
Czech Cup
21.04.26	Karviná - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
18.04.26	Dukla Prague - Karviná	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Karviná - Slovan Liberec	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Sparta Prague - Karviná	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWL
- FK Pardubice
Czech 1 Liga
25.04.26	Pardubice - Zlín	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Pardubice	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Pardubice - Sigma Olomouc	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Dukla Prague - Pardubice	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Pardubice - Slovan Liberec	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
08.03.26	Karviná - Pardubice	1:2
04.10.25	Pardubice - Karviná	2:1
24.11.24	Karviná - Pardubice	1:0
27.07.24	Pardubice - Karviná	0:1
19.05.24	Pardubice - Karviná	4:0
14.02.24	Karviná - Pardubice	0:3
13.08.23	Pardubice - Karviná	2:1

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