Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 25

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday


	Dulwich Hamlet		Bognor Regis Town

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.75	3.25
	1.83	3.9	3.35
	1.81	4.08	3.43
	1.83	3.6	3.4
	1.83	3.86	3.41
	1.83	3.9	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.97)	3.85 ↓ (3.88)	3.37 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dulwich Hamlet
49.6%

Draw
23.5%

Bognor Regis Town
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

23.5%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

20.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dulwich Hamlet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Bognor Regis Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dulwich Hamlet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bognor Regis Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dulwich Hamlet - Bognor Regis Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Dulwich Hamlet will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Wanadio L. ⚽,
13', Jallow A. 🟨,
20', Jallow A. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Beale L. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Hand R. ⚽,
39', 3 - 1, Hand R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
66', 3 - 2, Higgs T. ⚽,
87', 3 - 3, Mather J. ⚽,
90', 3 - 4, Higgs T. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dulwich won 2.

Recent matches Dulwich is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bognor Regis has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dulwich will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Dulwich won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:18 (average 1.5:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Dulwich won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dulwich Hamlet
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.01.25	Cray Wanderers - Dulwich Hamlet	1:0 ✺
28.12.24	Whitehawk - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Carshalton Athletic	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:4 ✺
14.12.24	Dartford - Dulwich Hamlet	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLT
- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.01.25	Bognor Regis Town - Chichester City	1:4 ✺
28.12.24	Bognor Regis Town - Hastings United	0:1 ✺
26.12.24	Horsham - Bognor Regis Town	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Potters Bar Town - Bognor Regis Town	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Bognor Regis Town - Whitehawk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.03.24	Bognor Regis Town - Dulwich Hamlet	0:2
02.12.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Bognor Regis Town	1:1
English FA Cup
21.09.19	Dulwich Hamlet - Bognor Regis Town	6:1
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.05.17	Bognor Regis Town - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1
11.02.17	Bognor Regis Town - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1
08.10.16	Dulwich Hamlet - Bognor Regis Town	1:3
28.04.16	Bognor Regis Town - Dulwich Hamlet	0:1

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