The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dulwich Hamlet 43.3%
Draw 24%
Carshalton Athletic 32.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.2%
23.8%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
23.2%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dulwich Hamlet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dulwich Hamlet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carshalton Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dulwich Hamlet - Carshalton Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Obi O. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Young-Coombes N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 2, Young-Coombes N. ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, Clunis N. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th and 5th in the Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dulwich won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Carshalton may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Dulwich is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Dulwich has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:12 (averaging 1.6:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dulwich against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 2:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Carshalton
15
7
1
7
23:28
-5
22
9
Dulwich Hamlet
14
6
3
5
23:22
1
21
Last Results with these Odds
Dulwich Hamlet - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.17%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.