Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 8

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday


	Dulwich Hamlet		Horsham

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.1
	2.8	3.55	2.16
	2.94	3.75	2.16
	2.88	3.72	2.12
	2.9	3.52	2.14
	2.8	3.55	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.25)	3.6 ↓ (3.8)	2.14 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dulwich Hamlet
32.1%

Draw
25.3%

Horsham
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

23.6%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

23%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dulwich Hamlet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dulwich Hamlet's form might have worsened.

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Horsham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dulwich Hamlet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Horsham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dulwich Hamlet - Horsham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 8).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Dulwich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dulwich won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Dulwich won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Last Results with these Odds

Dulwich Hamlet - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.83%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dulwich Hamlet
English Isthmian League Premier Division
07.09.24	Canvey Island - Dulwich Hamlet	2:3 ✺
26.08.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Cray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Chatham Town - Dulwich Hamlet	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Whitehawk	3:3 ✺
13.08.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Hendon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLTW
- Horsham FC
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Horsham - Dorking Wanderers	1:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
07.09.24	Cray Wanderers - Horsham	0:0 ✺
26.08.24	Horsham - Dover Athletic	1:3 ✺
24.08.24	Hashtag United - Horsham	1:4 ✺
17.08.24	Horsham - Potters Bar Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.12.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Horsham	1:1
26.08.23	Horsham - Dulwich Hamlet	3:2

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