Match Info

League Two - Round 35

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Dumbarton Football Stadium (Dumbarton)


	Dumbarton		East Kilbride

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.1	1.53
	4.85	4.35	1.52
	5	4.35	1.38
	5.23	4.48	1.49	Watch
	5	4.33	1.53
	5.26	3.92	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↑ (4.18)	4.26 ↑ (3.98)	1.5 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dumbarton
18.2%

Draw
21.3%

East Kilbride
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

22.8%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

22%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dumbarton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

East Kilbride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Dumbarton - East Kilbride Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Rice A. (G) 24. Doyle M. 5. Durnan M. (C) 3. Omar A. 25. Walker G. 4. Webster K. 16. Joseph T. 14. Livingstone A. 7. Tomlinson S. 21. Honeyman S. 15. McIntosh L.	1. Hepburn C. (G) 5. Fagan S. 4. Hamilton J. 23. McGregor J. 20. Breen R. 10. Robertson J. (C) 6. Leitch J. 25. Spence L. 7. Mcluckie B. 8. Balde J. 11. Young C.
Substitutes
6. Blair R. 12. Brown A. 26. Connor D. 9. Duncan J. 20. Gilfedder A. 1. Long B. (G) 10. Roy A. 11. Wallace T.	16. Dobbie L. 9. Elliott C. 12. Foster K. 3. Kyle A. 21. Morrison J. (G) 27. Mylchreest J. 19. Robertson K. 2. Young S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Mcluckie B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rice A. ↓, Long B. ↑,
58', Joseph T. 🟨,
65', Young C. ↓, Elliott C. ↑,
76', Tomlinson S. ↓, Duncan J. ↑,
82', Livingstone A. ↓, Roy A. ↑,
88', Joseph T. ↓, Wallace T. ↑,
90', Balde J. 🟨,
90+2', Mcluckie B. 🟨,
90+2', Duncan J. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Dumbarton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

East Kilbride is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, East Kilbride is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dumbarton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Dumbarton: 3.97%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Dumbarton	9	4	0	5	10:15	-5	12

Last Results with these Odds

East Kilbride - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.47%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dumbarton
Scottish League Two
18.04.26	Clyde - Dumbarton	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Dumbarton - Stirling Albion	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Stranraer - Dumbarton	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Dumbarton - Forfar Athletic	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Dumbarton - Annan Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWTTW
- East Kilbride FC
Scottish League Two
18.04.26	East Kilbride - Edinburgh City	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	Forfar Athletic - East Kilbride	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	East Kilbride - Annan Athletic	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Spartans - East Kilbride	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	East Kilbride - Stirling Albion	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
21.02.26	East Kilbride - Dumbarton	3:1
13.12.25	Dumbarton - East Kilbride	2:0
20.09.25	East Kilbride - Dumbarton	1:1
Scottish League Cup
13.07.24	Dumbarton - East Kilbride	1:1
Club Friendly
30.06.18	East Kilbride - Dumbarton	1:3

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