Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 1

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: K-Park Training Academy (East Kilbride)


	East Kilbride		Kilmarnock 2

	1	X	2
	1.18	5.75	12.00
	1.19	6.75	9.00
	1.13	7.00	12.50
	1.13	8.09	17.93
	1.26	6	9.22
	1.09	7.90	17.00
	1.20	5.97	12.50
	1.15	6.20	11.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.29)	6.71 ↑ (5.24)	12.64 ↑ (7.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Kilbride
79%

Draw
13.7%

Kilmarnock 2
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

17.2%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Kilbride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in East Kilbride's performance.

Kilmarnock 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kilmarnock 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

East Kilbride - Kilmarnock 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Tiffoney S. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Moffat O. ⚽, McGrattan L. (A),
29', 1 - 2, Owen I. ⚽, Thomson J. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
48', McGuffie C. (Penalty Awarded),
60', 2 - 2, Gray F. ⚽, Steele A. (A),
66', 3 - 2, Armstrong R. ⚽,
67', 4 - 2, Elliott C. (Penalty Awarded),
81', 4 - 3, Irish O. ⚽, Margiotta R. (A),
84', 5 - 3, Foster K. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, East Kilbride has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

East Kilbride may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, East Kilbride is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	East Kilbride	5	3	1	1	17:12	5	10
30	Kilmarnock B	5	1	1	3	8:13	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Kilbride FC
Scottish League One
08.08.26	Airdrieonians - East Kilbride	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	East Kilbride - Queen of the South	5:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
21.07.26	St. Mirren - East Kilbride	4:3 ✺
18.07.26	East Kilbride - Dumbarton	5:3 ✺
14.07.26	Cove Rangers - East Kilbride	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLWL
- Kilmarnock 2
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.11.25	Annan Athletic - Kilmarnock 2	6:0 ✺
10.10.25	Clyde - Kilmarnock 2	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Alloa Athletic - Kilmarnock 2	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Stenhousemuir - Kilmarnock 2	4:0 ✺
26.08.25	East Fife - Kilmarnock 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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