Match Info

Premiership - Relegation Group - Round 35

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Dens Park (Dundee)

Referee: McLean S. (Sco)


	Dundee		St. Mirren

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.7
	2.42	3.2	2.88	Watch
	2.49	3.45	2.91
	2.46	3.31	2.85	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.75
	2.46	3.2	2.83	Watch
	2.55	3.45	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.55)	3.3 ↓ (3.45)	2.81 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundee
38%

Draw
28.5%

St. Mirren
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

27.9%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

28%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

St. Mirren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Dundee - St. Mirren Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dundee will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). St. Mirren will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McCracken J. (G) 16. Halliday B. 4. Astley R. 22. Graham L. 7. Wright D. 21. Dhanda Y. 48. Hamilton E. 20. Congreve C. 19. Westley J. 17. Yogane T. 15. Murray S. (C)	27. Sinclair R. (G) 2. Richardson J. 5. King R. 21. Freckleton M. 3. Tanser S. 6. O'Hara M. (C) 8. Devaney J. 16. Campbell A. 88. Phillips K. 7. Idowu R. 9. Mandron M.
Substitutes
27. Bevan J. 24. Cotterill J. 11. Hay A. 28. Jones C. 5. Koumetio B. 13. O'Hara K. (G) 18. Reilly C. 10. Robertson F. 12. Samuels I.	17. Calvin J. 32. Douglas L. 41. Duff R. 38. Falconer T. 22. Fraser M. 10. McMenamin C. 40. McMillan C. 35. Tamosevicius G. (G) 20. Young J.
Coaches
Pressley S.	McLeish C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Westley J. ⚽,
15', Devaney J. 🟨,
28', Mandron M. 🟨,
34', Halliday B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', McCracken J. ↓, O'Hara K. ↑,
75', Westley J. ↓, Robertson F. ↑,
76', Murray S. ↓, Hay A. ↑,
79', O'Hara M. ↓, McMenamin C. ↑,
84', Idowu R. ↓, Young J. ↑,
84', Tanser S. ↓, Fraser M. ↑,
87', Wright D. ↓, Koumetio B. ↑,
88', Yogane T. ↓, Samuels I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 3.

Dundee has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

St. Mirren has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

St. Mirren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in St. Mirren: Baccus K. (Hamstring Injury) Dijksteel M. (Groin Injury) Fraser M. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Dundee: Robertson C. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in St. Mirren: Ayunga J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dundee won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Dundee FC: 0.47% St. Mirren: 0.38%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Dundee FC	8	4	1	3	11:8	3	13
6	St. Mirren	8	3	1	4	8:14	-6	10

Last Results with these Odds

Dundee - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 37.74%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundee FC
Scottish Premier League
26.04.26	Dundee United - Dundee	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Kilmarnock - Dundee	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Dundee - Celtic	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Hearts - Dundee	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Dundee - Dundee United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLT
- St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League
25.04.26	St. Mirren - Livingston	0:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
19.04.26	Celtic - St. Mirren	6:2 ET ✺
Scottish Premier League
11.04.26	Celtic - St. Mirren	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	St. Mirren - Aberdeen	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Falkirk - St. Mirren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
31.01.26	St. Mirren - Dundee	0:0
29.11.25	Dundee - St. Mirren	3:1
27.09.25	St. Mirren - Dundee	1:0
05.04.25	Dundee - St. Mirren	2:0
29.12.24	St. Mirren - Dundee	1:2
31.08.24	Dundee - St. Mirren	2:2
04.05.24	Dundee - St. Mirren	1:3

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