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Current Win Probability
St. Mirren 56.1%
Draw 24.8%
Livingston 19.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.5%
25.3%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.5%
24%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
St. Mirren - Livingston Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Sinclair R. (G) 5. King R. 13. Gogic A. 21. Freckleton M. 6. O'Hara M. (C) 8. Devaney J. 16. Campbell A. 24. John D. 88. Phillips K. 11. Ayunga J. 9. Mandron M.
28. Prior J. (G) 23. Kabongolo B. 5. McGowan R. (C) 27. Wilson D. 19. Finlayson D. 24. Sylla M. 37. Arfield S. 3. Fati B. 15. Smith L. 17. May S. 7. Nouble J.
Substitutes
17. Calvin J. 32. Douglas L. 38. Falconer T. 7. Idowu R. 10. McMenamin C. 2. Richardson J. 35. Tamosevicius G. (G) 3. Tanser S. 20. Young J.
20. Danso E. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 2. Kerr C. 10. McKay B. 26. Montano C. 9. Muirhead R. 8. Pittman S. 25. Tait M. 29. Zimmerman J.
Coaches
McLeish C.
Bartley M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Gogic A. 🟨,
40', Fati B. ↓, Montano C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Campbell A. 🟨,
54', Ayunga J. ↓, Young J. ↑,
56', King R. ↓, Idowu R. ↑,
58', Sylla M. 🟨,
64', May S. ↓, Tait M. ↑,
64', Arfield S. ↓, Pittman S. ↑,
64', Nouble J. ↓, Muirhead R. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Gogic A. (Own goal),
71', Muirhead R. 🟨,
72', Campbell A. ↓, Richardson J. ↑,
72', Devaney J. ↓, McMenamin C. ↑,
76', Finlayson D. ↓, Kerr C. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Pittman S. ⚽, Smith L. (A),
82', John D. ↓, Tanser S. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 2.
In recent matches, St. Mirren has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Livingston is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
St. Mirren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, St. Mirren is considered a favorite.
There will not play in St. Mirren: Baccus K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Dijksteel M.
(Groin Injury)
Fraser M.
(Shoulder Injury)
There will not play in Livingston: McLennan C.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in St. Mirren: Mullen R.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Livingston: Denholm A.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
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Sinclair R. (G) 
King R. 
Gogic A. 
Freckleton M. 
Devaney J. 
John D. 
Ayunga J. 
Mandron M. 
McGowan R. (C) 
Finlayson D. 
Arfield S. 
Fati B. 
Danso E. 
Montano C. 
Zimmerman J. 
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