Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 31

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Tannadice Park (Dundee)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)


	Dundee United		Raith Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4	Watch
	1.78	3.3	3.8
	1.87	3.5	4	Watch
	1.79	3.74	4.51
	1.77	3.74	4.52
	1.8	3.5	4
	1.79	3.54	4.21	Watch
	1.79	3.55	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.64)	3.56 ↓ (3.82)	4.13 ↓ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundee United
51.6%

Draw
26%

Raith Rovers
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24.3%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

23.6%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundee United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dundee United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Dundee United - Raith Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Dundee Utd will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Raith will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Walton J. (G) 33. McMann S. 6. Graham R. 5. McClelland S. 29. Thomson M. 18. Fotheringham K. 23. Docherty R. (C) 32. Watt T. 14. Sibbald C. 15. Middleton G. 9. Moult L.	1. Dabrowski M. (G) 2. Brown J. 20. Brown S. (C) 6. Murray E. 3. Dick L. 14. Mullin J. 16. Stanton S. 18. Turner K. 23. Easton D. 10. Vaughan L. 29. Rudden Z.
Substitutes
49. Cleall-Harding S. 28. Cudjoe M. 7. Greive A. 8. Grimshaw L. 27. MacLeod R. 26. Mochrie C. R. 13. Newman J. (G) 16. Tillson J. 10. Wotherspoon D.	21. Byrne S. 7. Connolly A. 15. Corr D. 19. Hamilton J. 8. Matthews R. 24. McGill S. 13. McNeil A. (G) 11. Smith C. 5. Watson K.
Coaches
Goodwin J.	Murray I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Watt T. ⚽, Graham R. (A),
17', Moult L. 🟨,
23', Murray E. ↓, Watson K. ↑,
37', Fotheringham K. 🟨,
40', Easton D. 🟨,
45+3', Watt T. 🟨,
45+4', Rudden Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Mullin J. 🟨,
55', Vaughan L. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
55', Rudden Z. ↓, Hamilton J. ↑,
64', Docherty R. 🟨,
65', Watson K. 🟨,
70', Thomson M. 🟨,
75', 2 - 0, Moult L. (Pen),
78', Sibbald C. 🟨,
78', Turner K. 🟨,
78', Mullin J. ↓, Connolly A. ↑,
83', Brown J. ↓, Matthews R. ↑,
83', Turner K. ↓, Byrne S. ↑,
84', Moult L. ↓, Tillson J. ↑,
84', Thomson M. ↓, Grimshaw L. ↑,
90', Fotheringham K. ↓, Greive A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dundee Utd won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Dundee Utd could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dundee Utd is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Dundee Utd won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Dundee Utd won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundee United
Scottish Football Championship
23.03.24	Dundee United - Inverness	1:1 ✺
15.03.24	Dunfermline Athletic - Dundee United	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Dundee United - Arbroath	4:0 ✺
05.03.24	Greenock Morton - Dundee United	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Partick Thistle - Dundee United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLWWT
- Raith Rovers
Club Friendly
20.03.24	Raith Rovers - Hibernian	1:5 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
16.03.24	Queens Park - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
12.03.24	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Raith Rovers - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0 ✺
01.03.24	Arbroath - Raith Rovers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
16.02.24	Raith Rovers - Dundee United	2:1
16.12.23	Dundee United - Raith Rovers	0:1
07.10.23	Raith Rovers - Dundee United	1:1
Scottish League Cup
15.07.17	Dundee United - Raith Rovers	2:0
Scottish Football Championship
18.03.17	Raith Rovers - Dundee United	2:1
04.02.17	Dundee United - Raith Rovers	3:0
17.12.16	Raith Rovers - Dundee United	0:0

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