Match Info

Championship - Round 20

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy)

Referee: McFarlane D. (Sco)


	Raith Rovers		Dunfermline Athletic

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.4
	2.1	3.15	3.5	Watch
	2.04	3.29	3.69	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.5
	2.12	3.29	3.61	Watch
	2.08	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.09)	3.2 ↑ (3.17)	3.52 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Raith Rovers
44.7%

Draw
29%

Dunfermline Athletic
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

29.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

29.1%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Raith Rovers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Raith Rovers - Dunfermline Athletic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Raith (2.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Raith Rovers will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Raith (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rae J. (G) 2. Rowe J. 6. O'Connor D. 26. Stevenson L. 18. McMullan P. 29. Nsio P. 8. Matthews R. 22. Doherty J. 23. Easton D. 9. Hamilton J. 20. Brown S. (C)	1. Mehmet D. (G) 5. Hamilton C. (C) 2. Chilokoa-Mullen J. 18. Abdulai N. 3. Ngwenya K. 47. Fraser R. 10. Todd M. 8. Gilmour C. 26. Tod A. 19. Stewart B. 9. Rudden Z.
Substitutes
7. Chin R. 19. Gentles J. 24. Glavin A. (G) 25. Montagu K. 3. Wilson E.	4. Benedictus K. 22. Bray K. 12. Caceres J. 33. Cooper J. 16. MacLeod R. 54. Munn M. (G) 35. Oakley-Boothe T. 6. Otoo E. 7. Ritchie-Hosler K.
Coaches
Imrie D.	Lennon N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', Brown S. 🟨,
29', Matthews R. ↓, Chin R. ↑,
33', 0 - 1, Tod A. ⚽, Todd M. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Stewart B. ⚽,
45+2', Stevenson L. ↓, Wilson E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 2, Easton D. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Chin R. 🟨,
68', Hamilton C. 🟨,
71', Mehmet D. 🟨,
74', Rudden Z. 🟨,
80', Rudden Z. ↓, Ritchie-Hosler K. ↑,
88', Tod A. ↓, Oakley-Boothe T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raith won 3.

Raith is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dunfermline's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dunfermline may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Raith is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Raith won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Raith won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:4. (average 1.8:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
20.12.25	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Raith Rovers - Ross County	6:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.12.25	Raith Rovers - Hamilton Academical	5:2 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
06.12.25	St. Johnstone - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
29.11.25	Raith Rovers - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWWTW
- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Football Championship
20.12.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United	2:3 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
16.12.25	Queen of the South - Dunfermline Athletic	4:3 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
13.12.25	Queens Park - Dunfermline Athletic	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Arbroath	1:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
29.11.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Queen of the South	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
17.10.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers	2:0
22.08.25	Raith Rovers - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
14.03.25	Raith Rovers - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
01.02.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers	3:1
14.12.24	Raith Rovers - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
13.09.24	Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers	2:0
09.03.24	Raith Rovers - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0

Upcoming Matches