Match Info

SCOTLAND: Championship - Round 33

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday

Location: Cappielow Park (Greenock)

Referee: Grainger G. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Greenock Morton		Dundee United

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.7	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.7
	4.5	3.75	1.72
	4.88	3.66	1.73
	4.88	3.66	1.74
	4.5	3.6	1.67
	4.54	3.66	1.71	Watch
	4.3	3.55	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.54 ↑ (3.54)	3.61 ↑ (3.45)	1.72 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenock Morton
20.4%

Draw
25.6%

Dundee United
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

26.9%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

26.1%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Greenock Morton's form might have worsened.

Dundee United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dundee United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dundee United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Greenock Morton - Dundee United Predictions

Users Predictions: Dundee United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mullen R. (G) 4. O'Connor D. 5. Baird J. (C) 15. Broadfoot K. 26. French T. 20. Power A. 27. Wilson I. 8. Blues C. 9. Muirhead R. 10. Quitongo J. 14. Crawford R.	1. Walton J. (G) 8. Grimshaw L. 5. McClelland S. 6. Graham R. 33. McMann S. 23. Docherty R. (C) 14. Sibbald C. 18. Fotheringham K. 32. Watt T. 15. Middleton G. 9. Moult L.
Substitutes
19. Bearne J. 18. Garrity M. 21. Gillespie G. 17. McGrattan L. 41. Murdoch S. (G) 6. Waters C.	49. Cleall-Harding S. 28. Cudjoe M. 27. MacLeod R. 17. Meekison A. 26. Mochrie C. R. 13. Newman J. (G) 29. Thomson M. 16. Tillson J. 10. Wotherspoon D.
Coaches
Imrie D.	Goodwin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Docherty R. ⚽, Grimshaw L. (A),
23', 0 - 2, Middleton G. ⚽, Watt T. (A),
43', Quitongo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 3, Moult L. ⚽, Sibbald C. (A),
51', Wilson I. ↓, Garrity M. ↑,
55', Graham R. 🟨,
55', Broadfoot K. 🟨,
57', 0 - 4, Watt T. ⚽,
62', 1 - 4, Muirhead R. ⚽, Quitongo J. (A),
62', Power A. ↓, McGrattan L. ↑,
62', Quitongo J. ↓, Gillespie G. ↑,
62', French T. ↓, Waters C. ↑,
64', Moult L. ↓, Tillson J. ↑,
70', Waters C. 🟨,
76', Crawford R. ↓, Bearne J. ↑,
82', Fotheringham K. ↓, Wotherspoon D. ↑,
82', Docherty R. ↓, Thomson M. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Greenock won 1.

Greenock is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dundee Utd is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Greenock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dundee Utd is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Greenock won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Greenock won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
09.04.24	Ayr United - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Airdrieonians - Greenock Morton	3:1 ✺
30.03.24	Greenock Morton - Queens Park	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Partick Thistle - Greenock Morton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWLL
- Dundee United
Scottish Football Championship
06.04.24	Queens Park - Dundee United	0:5 ✺
30.03.24	Dundee United - Raith Rovers	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Dundee United - Inverness	1:1 ✺
15.03.24	Dunfermline Athletic - Dundee United	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Dundee United - Arbroath	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
05.03.24	Greenock Morton - Dundee United	0:1
06.01.24	Dundee United - Greenock Morton	2:3
16.09.23	Dundee United - Greenock Morton	1:1
25.01.20	Dundee United - Greenock Morton	1:1
10.12.19	Greenock Morton - Dundee United	1:2
28.09.19	Dundee United - Greenock Morton	6:0
04.05.19	Greenock Morton - Dundee United	1:0

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