Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 4

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)

Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Dunkerque		Angers

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.45
	2.85	3.29	2.65
	2.62	3.1	2.4
	2.81	3.32	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.37)	3.24 ↑ (3.1)	2.51 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
34%

Draw
28.8%

Angers
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

29.5%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

28.5%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Angers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Angers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angers than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	40%	50%

Dunkerque - Angers Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Angers will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Angers: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Balijon A. (G) 7. Bilingi Y. 28. Thiam D. (C) 23. Gambor H. 19. Youssouf B. 5. Boissier R. 8. Keita T. 22. Trichard D. 27. Ghrieb R. 29. Orelien A. 21. Gnanduillet A.	30. Fofana Y. (G) 94. Valery Y. 25. Bamba A. 21. Lefort J. 27. Rao-Lisoa L. 8. Lopy J. 15. Capelle P. (C) 17. Kalumba J. 10. Abdelli H. 23. Hunou A. 9. Diony L.
Substitutes
10. Anziani J. 20. Bardeli E. 18. Etonde L. 14. Guel M. 17. Ipiele A. 1. Lavallee L. (G) 13. Senneville C.	24. Bahoya J. 29. Camara O. 5. Courcoul M. 19. Fatar N. 7. Niane I. 12. Ould Khaled Z. 16. Zinga M. (G)
Coaches
Chabert M.	Dujeux A.

Preview

Recent matches Dunkerque is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Angers is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Angers have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
19.08.23	Annecy - Dunkerque	3:0 ✺
12.08.23	Guingamp - Dunkerque	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Dunkerque - Troyes	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Dunkerque - Valenciennes	2:2 ✺
22.07.23	Dunkerque - Boulogne	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWTTL
- Angers SCO
French Ligue 2
19.08.23	Angers - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
12.08.23	Angers - Annecy	0:0 ✺
05.08.23	Laval - Angers	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Angers - Bordeaux	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Angers - Nantes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTLTL

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