Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 14

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dunkerque		Boulogne

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	5.75	Watch
	1.62	3.65	5.3
	1.65	3.82	5.83
	1.69	3.65	4.58	Watch
	1.63	3.68	5.51	Watch
	1.68	3.65	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.72)	3.69 ↑ (3.65)	5.33 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
57%

Draw
25.4%

Boulogne
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

25.4%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.8%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	17.4%	13%

Dunkerque - Boulogne Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Boulogne will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dunkerque will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Niflore M. (G) 27. Linguet A. 23. Sasso V. (C) 21. Kondo G. 2. Georgen A. 6. Diong P. 80. Yassine G. 8. Sekongo A. 20. Bardeli E. 10. Essimi M. 9. Robinet T.	16. Kone I. (G) 18. Thiam D. 3. Burlet V. 5. Zohore N. (C) 25. Gourville S. 21. Platret A. 14. Bultel J. 19. Binet N. 27. Mpembele Boula E. 23. Fatar N. 17. Fatou C.
Substitutes
11. Daho A. 24. Dziki Loussilaho L. 16. Eguaras I. 1. Lavin M. (G) 22. Mayela V. 57. Seha Z. 77. Zossou A.	7. Boiteau L. 33. Boulet F. 12. Boyer J. 11. Keita S. 15. Pinot A. 20. Toure H. 30. Uriev A. (G)
Coaches
Sanchez A.	Dagneaux F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Burlet V. 🟨,
26', Yassine G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Linguet A. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Robinet T. ⚽, Yassine G. (A),
61', Essimi M. ↓, Zossou A. ↑,
70', Platret A. ↓, Keita S. ↑,
70', Burlet V. ↓, Boyer J. ↑,
72', Sekongo A. 🟨,
73', Robinet T. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
73', Linguet A. ↓, Mayela V. ↑,
73', Fatou C. ↓, Boulet F. ↑,
85', Zossou A. 🟨,
86', Fatar N. ↓, Boiteau L. ↑,
86', Mpembele Boula E. ↓, Pinot A. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+3', Yassine G. ↓, Eguaras I. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Bultel J. ⚽, Boyer J. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 3.

Dunkerque is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Boulogne has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Dunkerque is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Dunkerque: Eguaras I. (Injury) Kante A. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive) Sylvestre E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Boulogne: Capuano G. (Injury) Duflos S. (Red Card) Kitenge C. (Inactive) Lenogue X. (Inactive) Martin J. (Injury) Siliadin L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Boulogne: Kone I. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
01.11.25	Reims - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
28.10.25	Dunkerque - Red Star	3:0 ✺
24.10.25	Pau - Dunkerque	0:3 ✺
18.10.25	Dunkerque - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Bastia - Dunkerque	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWWLT
- US Boulogne
French Ligue 2
31.10.25	Annecy - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
28.10.25	Boulogne - Reims	2:6 ✺
24.10.25	Le Mans - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Boulogne - Guingamp	2:2 ✺
03.10.25	Amiens - Boulogne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.24	Boulogne - Dunkerque	2:3
22.07.23	Dunkerque - Boulogne	2:3
15.08.20	Dunkerque - Boulogne	3:1
French Ligue 3
13.12.19	Dunkerque - Boulogne	1:1
08.03.19	Boulogne - Dunkerque	0:1
28.09.18	Dunkerque - Boulogne	0:1
30.03.18	Dunkerque - Boulogne	0:0

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