Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 7

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free


	Guingamp		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.78
	2.48	3.43	2.9
	1.08	10.68	21.22	Watch
	2.42	3.35	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.09)	4.83 ↑ (3.55)	6.49 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
56.4%

Draw
25%

Dunkerque
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

26.1%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

26%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guingamp's performance.

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dunkerque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guingamp that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dunkerque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	14.3%	21.4%

Guingamp - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 2 - 40%). Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 23. Ourega D. 7. Gomis D. 36. Demouchy A. 22. Sissoko A. 8. Sidibe K. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 21. Mbemba F. 24. Ott G. 10. Hemia A. 9. Mafouta L.	1. Lavin M. (G) 2. Georgen A. 23. Sasso V. (C) 21. Kondo G. 30. Abner F. 16. Eguaras I. 80. Yassine G. 8. Sekongo A. 20. Bardeli E. 77. Zossou A. 19. Kante A.
Substitutes
29. Abdallah A. 39. Ahile T. 20. Hatchi J. 27. Kielt S. 2. Koffi E. 40. Marec N. (G) 6. N'Landu D.	11. Daho A. 6. Diong P. 24. Dziki Loussilaho L. 10. Essimi M. 60. Niflore M. (G) 9. Robinet T. 7. Sylvestre E.
Coaches
Ripoll S.	Sanchez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Mbemba F. ⚽, Hemia A. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Hemia A. ⚽, Ott G. (A),
43', Lavin M. ↓, Niflore M. ↑,
44', 2 - 1, Bardeli E. ⚽, Yassine G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yassine G. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
54', Eguaras I. 🟨,
59', Eguaras I. ↓, Diong P. ↑,
59', Sekongo A. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
72', Mafouta L. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
73', Sidibe K. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
73', Ott G. ↓, Hatchi J. ↑,
76', Mbemba F. ↓, Abdallah A. ↑,
76', Kante A. ↓, Robinet T. ↑,
82', Hemia A. 🟨,
87', Kondo G. 🟨,
87', Hatchi J. 🟨,
90+1', Zossou A. 🟨,
90+4', Ourega D. ↓, Koffi E. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Guingamp may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Guingamp: Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Ortola A. (Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Sagna A. (Injury)

There will not play in Dunkerque: Linguet A. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive) Sangante O. (Red Card)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Dunkerque - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 29.36%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
20.09.25	Troyes - Guingamp	5:2 ✺
15.09.25	Guingamp - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Bastia - Guingamp	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Guingamp - Red Star	0:4 ✺
16.08.25	Reims - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLL
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
19.09.25	Dunkerque - Le Mans	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Grenoble - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Dunkerque - Troyes	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Dunkerque - Nancy	1:3 ✺
16.08.25	Annecy - Dunkerque	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
14.05.25	Dunkerque - Guingamp	1:0
French Ligue 2
07.04.25	Dunkerque - Guingamp	3:1
04.01.25	Guingamp - Dunkerque	1:1
13.04.24	Dunkerque - Guingamp	0:1
12.08.23	Guingamp - Dunkerque	0:1
07.05.22	Dunkerque - Guingamp	1:3
21.12.21	Guingamp - Dunkerque	2:1

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