Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 9

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday


	Niteroiense		Duque de Caxias

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.88	3.15
	2.24	2.88	3.2
	2.08	3.11	3.51	Watch
	2.23	2.94	3.2
	2.8	2.9	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.25)	2.94 ↓ (3.23)	3.11 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niteroiense
39.5%

Draw
31.1%

Duque de Caxias
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

28.1%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

28.5%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niteroiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Duque de Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niteroiense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Niteroiense - Duque de Caxias Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Niteroiense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niteroiense FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
01.11.25	Friburguense - Niteroiense	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Campo Grande - Niteroiense	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Niteroiense - Bonsucesso	2:3 ✺
10.10.25	Artsul - Niteroiense	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Niteroiense - Serrano FC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTLTL
- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Carioca B1
01.11.25	Duque de Caxias - Nova Cidade	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Duque de Caxias - Paduano	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Friburguense - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	São Cristóvão - Duque de Caxias	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Duque de Caxias - Campo Grande	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWLT

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