Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday


	Durango		Aurrerá Ondarroa

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.75	6.5
	1.44	4.05	6.45
	1.42	4.06	6.45
	1.4	4.05	7.37
	1.47	3.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.53)	3.93 ↑ (3.8)	6.65 ↑ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durango
63.2%

Draw
23.1%

Aurrerá Ondarroa
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

24.1%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

23.8%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Aurrerá Ondarroa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Aldazabal J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 1 - 2, Orbegozo J. ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Durango is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Durango won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Durango won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.03.24	Basconia - Durango	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Durango - Añorga	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Alavés C - Durango	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Durango - Deusto	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Leioa - Durango	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWTL
- CD Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.03.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Lagun Onak	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Vitoria - Aurrerá Ondarroa	3:1 ✺
16.03.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Pasaia	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Padura - Aurrerá Ondarroa	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Touring KE	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
19.11.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Durango	0:0
04.03.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Durango	0:2
29.10.22	Durango - Aurrerá Ondarroa	0:2
23.04.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Durango	0:0
12.12.21	Durango - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:1

Durango - Aurrerá Ondarroa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide