Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Durango		Real Sociedad C

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.3
	2.29	2.98	3.24	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.4
	2.1	3.18	3.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.05)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	3.29 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durango
42.4%

Draw
29.9%

Real Sociedad C
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

28.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

27.9%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Real Sociedad C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durango than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad C than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Durango - Real Sociedad C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Elcano M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

Durango has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Real Sociedad C is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Durango could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Durango won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Durango won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Real Sociedad C	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8
10	Durango	5	1	3	1	8:8	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.12.25	Pasaia - Durango	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Durango - Lagun Onak	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Deusto - Durango	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Durango - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	San Ignacio - Durango	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWWTW
- Real Sociedad C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.12.25	Real Sociedad C - Aretxabaleta	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Zamudio - Real Sociedad C	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Real Sociedad C - Santurtzi	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Sociedad C - Zarautz KE	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Pasaia - Real Sociedad C	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
02.11.19	Real Sociedad C - Durango	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
07.01.18	Real Sociedad C - Durango	0:4
26.08.17	Durango - Real Sociedad C	2:0

Durango - Real Sociedad C: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide