Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Durango		Portugalete

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.1	1.85
	3.66	3	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↓ (4.06)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	1.96 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Durango
23.9%

Draw
29.8%

Portugalete
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

28.3%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

27.9%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Portugalete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Durango - Portugalete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Alfaro G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Durango won 0.

Durango has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Portugalete is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Portugalete is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Durango won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:17. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Durango won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
16.11.25	San Ignacio - Durango	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Durango - Derio	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Touring KE - Durango	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Durango	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Durango - Leioa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLTT
- Club Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
16.11.25	Portugalete - Aretxabaleta	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Zamudio - Portugalete	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Portugalete - Santurtzi	4:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Portugalete - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
26.10.25	Real Sociedad C - Portugalete	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
29.03.25	Durango - Portugalete	0:1
16.11.24	Portugalete - Durango	2:0
27.04.24	Portugalete - Durango	5:1
17.12.23	Durango - Portugalete	0:2
05.02.23	Portugalete - Durango	1:1
01.10.22	Durango - Portugalete	0:1
30.04.22	Durango - Portugalete	0:0

Upcoming Matches