Match Info

Women's League Cup - Round 2

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Maiden Castle (Durham)


	Durham		Liverpool LFC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	14.5	6.9	1.12
	13.69	8.21	1.12
	13.78	6.06	1.19	Watch
	21	6.5	1.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.74 ↑ (5.98)	6.92 ↑ (4.51)	1.13 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durham
5.8%

Draw
13.2%

Liverpool LFC
80.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

20.1%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

18.9%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Durham's form might have worsened.

Liverpool LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liverpool LFC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durham than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Durham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool LFC than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liverpool LFC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Durham - Liverpool LFC Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool LFC will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. King A. (G) 19. Wilson E. 5. Wilson S. (C) 20. Foster M. 3. Briggs L. 7. Hepple B. 6. Robson S. 25. McFarland L. 27. Jones A. 16. Ede G. 9. Watson L.	22. Kirby F. M. (G) 4. Fisk G. (C) 3. Evans G. 17. Clark J. 5. Shimizu R. 8. Nagano F. 24. Kerr S. 10. Haug S. 19. MacLean K. 7. Kapocs C. 13. Enderby M.
Substitutes
2. Ayre G. 10. Blake H. 8. Lambert M. 15. Pritchard P. 14. Salicki B. 35. Sheppard C. (G) 17. Speckmaier M. 4. Toland T.	12. Borggrafe R. (G) 18. Holland C. 15. Lundgaard S. 11. Olsson B. 34. Silcock H. 6. Szymczak E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Haug S. ↓, Holland C. ↑,
27', 0 - 1, Holland C. ⚽, Nagano F. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Foster M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Briggs L. ↓, Lambert M. ↑,
46', Foster M. ↓, Ayre G. ↑,
48', Robson S. 🟨,
63', McFarland L. ↓, Pritchard P. ↑,
63', Robson S. ↓, Salicki B. ↑,
63', Watson L. ↓, Blake H. ↑,
84', MacLean K. ↓, Olsson B. ↑,
86', Enderby M. 🟨,
86', 1 - 2, Kerr S. ⚽, Enderby M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Durham won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Recently, Durham has had a series of home games.

In this match, Liverpool is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Durham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Durham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Durham WFC
English WSL 2
12.10.25	Durham - Nottingham Forest	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Bristol City - Durham	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Durham - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
24.09.25	Durham - Sheffield United	1:2 penalties ✺
English WSL 2
19.09.25	Sunderland - Durham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTLL
- Liverpool LFC
English WSL
12.10.25	Liverpool LFC - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	London City Lionesses - Liverpool LFC	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Liverpool LFC - Manchester United	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Leicester City - Liverpool LFC	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Liverpool LFC - Everton	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
27.03.22	Liverpool LFC - Durham	3:0
14.11.21	Durham - Liverpool LFC	0:2
20.12.20	Durham - Liverpool LFC	2:0
06.09.20	Liverpool LFC - Durham	1:1
English League Cup Women
11.12.19	Liverpool LFC - Durham	3:1

Durham - Liverpool LFC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide