Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden)

Referee: Benen L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Dynamo Dresden		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.22	3.4	2.92	Watch
	2.35	3.5	3.25
	2.44	3.39	2.83	Watch
	2.27	3.43	3.13	Watch
	2.22	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.42)	3.42 ↑ (3.2)	3.06 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Dresden
41.3%

Draw
27.7%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

28.2%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	31.6%	21.1%

Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Fortuna will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Grill L. (G) 13. Pauli J. 29. Boeder L. 42. Muller F. 2. Faber K. 6. Amoako K. 8. Herrmann L. 19. Rossipal A. 10. Lemmer J. 27. Hauptmann N. 9. Vermeij V.	33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 5. Heyer M. 15. Oberdorf T. 2. Daland J. 4. Schmidt K. 6. Breithaupt T. 46. Suso S. 7. Raimund L. 24. Muslija F. 19. Iyoha E. 13. Itten C.
Substitutes
23. Bunning L. 17. Casar A. 33. Daferner C. 16. Froling N. 15. Kammerknecht C. 30. Kutschke S. 25. Oehmichen J. 5. Sapina V. 1. Schreiber T. (G)	40. Anhari H. 23. Appelkamp S. 9. Celar Z. 30. de Wijs J. 44. Egouli E. 3. Lenz C. 1. Lotka M. (G) 10. Rasmussen C. 22. Schmidt D.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Anfang M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Kastenmeier F. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Rossipal A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, Vermeij V. ⚽, Hauptmann N. (A),
59', Muller F. 🟨,
63', Heyer M. ↓, Rasmussen C. ↑,
63', Raimund L. ↓, Celar Z. ↑,
71', Lemmer J. ↓, Froling N. ↑,
71', Herrmann L. ↓, Sapina V. ↑,
73', Muslija F. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
73', Suso S. ↓, Appelkamp S. ↑,
78', Breithaupt T. ↓, Anhari H. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Rasmussen C. ⚽, Itten C. (A),
85', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
85', Amoako K. ↓, Casar A. ↑,
90', Hauptmann N. ↓, Oehmichen J. ↑,
90+12', Daland J. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Menzel T. (Injury) Risch S. (Shoulder Injury) Sapina V. (Inactive) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Fortuna: Alexandropoulos S. (Muscle Injury) El Azzouzi A. (Yellow Cards) Hettwer J. (Knee Injury) Lunddal V. (Foot Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury) Zimmermann M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
21.11.25	Bochum - Dynamo Dresden	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Dynamo Dresden - Nürnberg	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Hertha Berlin - Dynamo Dresden	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Preußen Münster - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLLT
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
22.11.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Magdeburg	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Kaiserslautern	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Hertha Berlin - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
22.04.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Dynamo Dresden	2:2
21.11.21	Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0
28.04.18	Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2
27.11.17	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Dynamo Dresden	1:3
16.04.17	Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1
04.11.16	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Dynamo Dresden	0:3

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