Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

Referee: Bickel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Croatia	SportKlub 7
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Sweden	Viaplay
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
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World	Onefootball


	Holstein Kiel		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	4.2	Watch
	1.78	3.8	3.95	Watch
	1.84	4.01	4.4
	1.85	3.89	3.82	Watch
	1.77	3.9	4.07	Watch
	1.86	3.7	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.85)	3.87 ↓ (3.89)	4.03 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
52.2%

Draw
24.4%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

24.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

23.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: Holstein Kiel will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Holstein Kiel will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Krumrey J. (G) 26. Zec D. 5. Johansson C. 3. Komenda M. 23. Rosenboom L. 22. Schwab S. 15. Davidsen K. 47. Tolkin J. 11. Bernhardsson A. 10. Therkelsen J. 20. Kapralik A.	33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 25. Zimmermann M. 15. Oberdorf T. 2. Daland J. 4. Schmidt K. 6. Breithaupt T. 8. El Azzouzi A. 10. Rasmussen C. 24. Muslija F. 19. Iyoha E. 13. Itten C.
Substitutes
19. Harres P. 6. Ivezic M. 24. Knudsen M. 45. Koster L. 25. Muller M. 13. Nekic I. 29. Niehoff N. 39. Wagner R. 1. Weiner T. (G)	23. Appelkamp S. 9. Celar Z. 30. de Wijs J. 44. Egouli E. 5. Heyer M. 1. Lotka M. (G) 7. Raimund L. 22. Schmidt D. 46. Suso S.
Coaches
Rapp M.	Anfang M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Daland J. 🟨,
33', El Azzouzi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Davidsen K. ⚽,
62', El Azzouzi A. ↓, Appelkamp S. ↑,
62', Zimmermann M. ↓, Heyer M. ↑,
68', Therkelsen J. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
73', Schmidt K. ↓, Suso S. ↑,
74', Rasmussen C. ↓, Raimund L. ↑,
77', Komenda M. ↓, Ivezic M. ↑,
77', Kapralik A. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
82', Breithaupt T. ↓, Egouli E. ↑,
84', Schwab S. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
84', Rosenboom L. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
90+3', Oberdorf T. 🟨,
90+5', Krumrey J. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 2.

Holstein Kiel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fortuna is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Fortuna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Fortuna has had a series of home games.

Holstein Kiel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Fortuna: Alexandropoulos S. (Muscle Injury) Hettwer J. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Muscle Injury) Lunddal V. (Foot Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury) Zimmermann M. (Head Injury)

There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Davidsen K. (Illness) Rosenboom L. (Injury) Skrzybski S. (Heel Injury)

There are questionable in Fortuna: Itten C. (Knock) Rasmussen C. (Illness)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
31.10.25	Preußen Münster - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Holstein Kiel - Bochum	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWTTT
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
02.11.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Kaiserslautern	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Hertha Berlin - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
11.05.24	Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1
10.12.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	0:1
06.05.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	3:0
29.10.22	Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2
06.02.22	Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0
20.08.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	2:2
08.02.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	0:2

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