Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden)

Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Dynamo Dresden		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.8	2	Watch
	3.2	3.7	2	Watch
	3.44	3.89	2.08
	2.92	3.57	2.30	Watch
				Watch
	3.28	3.7	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.92)	3.73 ↑ (3.57)	2.08 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Dresden
29.3%

Draw
25.3%

Paderborn
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

26.5%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

26.3%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	9.5%	71.4%

Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Paderborn will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Paderborn (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Paderborn (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paderborn will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Grill L. (G) 15. Kammerknecht C. 29. Boeder L. 23. Bunning L. 19. Rossipal A. 5. Sapina V. 2. Faber K. 27. Hauptmann N. 24. Menzel T. 16. Froling N. 33. Daferner C.	41. Seimen D. (G) 22. Hansen M. 20. Gotze F. 25. Scheller T. 17. Curda L. 14. Baur M. 5. Castaneda S. 23. Obermair R. 7. Bilbija F. 9. Batzner N. 27. Tigges S.
Substitutes
6. Amoako K. 17. Casar A. 8. Herrmann L. 11. Kother D. 10. Lemmer J. 26. Marx J. H. 37. Mesenholer D. (G) 25. Oehmichen J. 9. Vermeij V.	28. Copado L. 6. Engelns L. 8. Kinsombi D. 30. Marino S. 11. Michel S. 2. Muller R. 1. Schubert M. (G) 3. Sticker J. 18. Worner M.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Kettemann R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Daferner C. (Pen),
45+2', 1 - 1, Bilbija F. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Batzner N. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Baur M. ⚽,
70', Froling N. ↓, Kother D. ↑,
70', Daferner C. ↓, Vermeij V. ↑,
70', Menzel T. ↓, Amoako K. ↑,
75', Amoako K. 🟨,
77', Faber K. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
82', Curda L. 🟨,
83', Baur M. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
84', Hauptmann N. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
90+1', Bilbija F. 🟨,
90+3', Kother D. 🟨,
90+6', Obermair R. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
90+6', Bilbija F. ↓, Michel S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3.

In recent matches, Dynamo Dresden has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Paderborn is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Paderborn could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Kutschke S. (Red Card) Pauli J. (Hamstring Injury) Risch S. (Shoulder Injury) Schreiber T. (Hand Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Paderborn - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 41.12%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
18.10.25	Preußen Münster - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher	3:3 ✺
26.09.25	Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Dynamo Dresden - Hannover	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTLTT
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
18.10.25	Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld	4:3 ✺
03.10.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Paderborn - Kaiserslautern	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Hertha Berlin - Paderborn	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Paderborn - Bochum	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.07.23	Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden	0:2
German 2 Bundesliga
12.02.22	Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden	0:0
29.08.21	Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn	0:3
German DFB Pokal
06.08.21	Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn	2:1
German 2 Bundesliga
19.05.19	Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn	3:1
15.12.18	Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden	3:0
14.03.14	Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden	2:1

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