Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden)

Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dynamo Dresden		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.75	3.7	Watch
	1.92	3.6	3.55	Watch
	1.93	3.81	3.68	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.5
	1.88	3.78	3.92	Watch
	1.86	3.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.93)	3.7 ↓ (3.9)	3.69 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Dresden
49.3%

Draw
25.3%

Greuther Fürth
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

24.2%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

24.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Dynamo Dresden - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Fürth will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Fürth (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 2 - 50%). Fürth (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schreiber T. (G) 32. Sterner J. 13. Pauli J. 39. Keller T. 19. Rossipal A. 10. Lemmer J. 18. Wagner R. 6. Amoako K. 27. Hauptmann N. 7. Ceka J. 9. Vermeij V.	21. Schlieck T. (G) 23. Dehm J. 4. Ziereis P. 5. Munz R. 27. Itter G. 33. Dietz M. 37. Green J. 30. Klaus F. 10. Hrgota B. 16. Keller A. 9. Futkeu N.
Substitutes
29. Boeder L. 23. Bunning L. 33. Daferner C. 2. Faber K. 8. Herrmann L. 30. Kutschke S. 24. Menzel T. 37. Mesenholer D. (G) 5. Sapina V.	28. Arifi D. 25. Bjarnason B. 14. Consbruch J. 11. Dardari A. 38. Marita R. 43. Prufrock S. (G) 2. Reich L. 42. Sillah O. 7. Srbeny D.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Vogel H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Dehm J. 🟨,
26', Wagner R. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Keller T. ⚽, Rossipal A. (A),
40', Ziereis P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Lemmer J. ⚽, Pauli J. (A),
57', Lemmer J. 🟨,
59', Green J. ↓, Dardari A. ↑,
65', Vermeij V. 🟨,
69', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
75', Hrgota B. ↓, Srbeny D. ↑,
76', Dehm J. ↓, Reich L. ↑,
76', Ceka J. ↓, Faber K. ↑,
76', Hauptmann N. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
80', Keller A. ↓, Arifi D. ↑,
80', Klaus F. ↓, Sillah O. ↑,
83', Dietz M. 🟨,
90+4', Lemmer J. ↓, Bunning L. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Fürth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dynamo Dresden is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L. (Knee Injury) Marx J. (Ankle Injury) Menzel T. (Elbow Injury) Risch S. (Shoulder Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Fürth: Abrangao D. (Muscle Injury) Banse S. (Knee Injury) Bjarnason B. (Muscle Injury) John M. (Muscle Injury) Konig N. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Greuther Furth: 0.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Greuther Furth	6	1	3	2	9:11	-2	6
16	SG Dynamo Dresden	7	1	2	4	9:15	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Dresden
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Dynamo Dresden - Aarau	3:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
12.12.25	Dynamo Dresden - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Kaiserslautern - Dynamo Dresden	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLW
- Greuther Fürth
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Greuther Fürth - Jahn Regensburg	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Greuther Fürth - Schweinfurt	5:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
12.12.25	Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin	3:3 ✺
07.12.25	Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
03.08.25	Greuther Fürth - Dynamo Dresden	3:2
09.06.20	Dynamo Dresden - Greuther Fürth	1:1
18.10.19	Greuther Fürth - Dynamo Dresden	2:0
04.04.19	Greuther Fürth - Dynamo Dresden	0:0
30.09.18	Dynamo Dresden - Greuther Fürth	0:1
11.02.18	Greuther Fürth - Dynamo Dresden	1:0
08.09.17	Dynamo Dresden - Greuther Fürth	1:1

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