Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 3
Argentina	13:45	Disney+
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	02:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 8, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Belgium	18:45	VOOsport World 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 2
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 3
Chile	12:45	Disney+
China	00:45	ZhiBo8
Colombia	11:45	Disney+
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	18:45	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 6, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	20:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	18:45	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 4
Hong Kong	00:45	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	16:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	17:45	Premier Sports 2 ROI
Israel	19:45	Sport 2
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Arena
Kazakhstan	22:45	Qazsport
Kosovo	18:45	Arena Premium 4
Laos	23:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	10:45	Disney+
Mongolia	00:45	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	11:45	Disney+
Philippines	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	00:45	beIN Sports 3
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 3
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	01:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	23:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	13:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	12:45	Disney+
Vietnam	23:45	ON Plus, TV 360


	AZ Alkmaar		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.4	2.55
	2.52	3.55	2.68
	2.7	3.53	2.67
	2.76	3.6	2.56	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.45
	2.6	3.44	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.43)	3.47 ↑ (3.36)	2.59 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
36.2%

Draw
27.3%

Shakhtar Donetsk
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.3%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

28.9%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	20%	26.7%

AZ Alkmaar - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 14 - 50%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 31.5% – 68.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Shakhtar (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - AZ (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Shakhtar (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Zoet J. (C) 18. Ichihara R. 4. Dekker M. 23. van Duijl B. 2. Maikuma S. 74. Boogaard K. 33. Sin M. 15. Chavez Garcia M. 7. Weslley Patati 35. Meerdink M. 11. Sadiq I.	31. Riznyk D. (G) 17. Tobias V. 5. Bondar V. 22. Matviienko M. (C) 13. Henrique P. 29. Nazaryna Y. 30. Alisson 27. Ocheretko O. 14. Isaque Silva 11. Newerton 19. Kaua Elias
Substitutes
22. Dijkstra E. 17. Jensen I. 45. Kovacs B. 46. Menu M. 10. Mijnans S. 24. Oufkir A. 1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 9. Parrott T. 5. Penetra 56. Robbemond R. 26. Smit K. 12. Verhulst H. (G)	16. Azarovi I. 21. Bondarenko A. 7. Eguinaldo 18. Ghram A. 26. Konoplya Y. 49. Luca Meirelles 37. Lucas Ferreira 4. Marlon 6. Marlon Gomes 68. Obah P. 2. Traore L. 48. Tvardovskyi D. (G)
Coaches
Echteld L.	Turan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Isaque Silva 🟨,
31', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
33', van Duijl B. 🟨,
35', Boogaard K. 🟨,
45+2', Sadiq I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
46', Maikuma S. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Alisson ⚽, Kaua Elias (A),
61', Alisson ↓, Marlon Gomes ↑,
61', Isaque Silva ↓, Eguinaldo ↑,
63', Meerdink M. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
63', van Duijl B. ↓, Robbemond R. ↑,
70', Newerton ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
70', Kaua Elias ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
71', Tobias V. 🟨,
71', Echteld L. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Jensen I. ⚽,
78', Eguinaldo 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Sin M. ⚽, Kovacs B. (A),
83', 2 - 2, Luca Meirelles ⚽, Lucas Ferreira (A),
85', Matviienko M. 🟨,
88', Ocheretko O. ↓, Bondarenko A. ↑,
90+3', Weslley Patati ↓, Menu M. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-3. Second leg.

AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shakhtar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shakhtar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Shakhtar has had a series of home games.

AZ could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in AZ: Hornkamp J. (Injury) Kasius D. (Injury) Koopmeiners P. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Shakhtar: Kornienko V. (Inactive) Petryak I. (Inactive) Savchenko R. (Inactive) Sigeev K. (Inactive) Udod D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Shakhtar: Eguinaldo (Injury) Isaque Silva (Concussion) Kryskiv D. (Injury) Marlon Gomes (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AZ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, AZ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
12.04.26	AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.04.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - AZ Alkmaar	3:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
04.04.26	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Groningen - AZ Alkmaar	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	Sparta Prague - AZ Alkmaar	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
13.04.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.04.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - AZ Alkmaar	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
05.04.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Rukh Lviv	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Lech Poznań	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
15.03.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.04.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - AZ Alkmaar	3:0
Club Friendly
08.07.23	AZ Alkmaar - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:3

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