Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Motor Lublin Arena (Lublin)

Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dynamo Kyiv		Zrinjski Mostar

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	5.25
	1.62	4.15	5.4
	1.66	3.9	5.55
	1.49	4.49	6.09	Watch
	1.63	3.83	5.65
	1.58	4	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.35)	4.02 ↓ (4.8)	5.53 ↓ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Kyiv
59.3%

Draw
23.6%

Zrinjski Mostar
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

19.5%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

18.8%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Kyiv's form might have worsened.

Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zrinjski Mostar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Kyiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zrinjski Mostar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Dynamo Kyiv - Zrinjski Mostar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Dynamo (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dynamo Kyiv will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dynamo Kyiv will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Neshcheret R. (G) 18. Tymchyk O. 4. Popov D. 66. Thiare A. 32. Mykhavko T. 8. Pikhalyonok O. 91. Mykhaylenko M. 29. Buyalskyy V. (C) 22. Kabaev V. 39. Guerrero E. 16. Ogundana S.	40. Ljubic M. (G) 19. Vranjkovic M. 5. Masic I. 55. Dujmovic D. 12. Mamic P. 22. Pranjic J. 30. Djurasek N. (C) 3. Filipovic B. 14. Sakota M. 90. Majic T. 31. Damascan V.
Substitutes
77. Blanuta V. 14. Burtnyk V. 44. Dubinchak V. 20. Karavaev O. 51. Morgun V. (G) 15. Rubchynskyi V. 10. Shaparenko M. 17. Torres A. 2. Vivcharenko K. 9. Voloshyn N. 7. Yarmolenko A. 5. Yatsyk O.	99. Bilbija N. 1. Bogdan M. (G) 7. Burey T. 42. Cavar M. 25. Cuze M. 20. Ivancic A. 6. Karacic D. 50. Memija K. 9. Mikic L. 23. Surdanovic S. 17. Susak A. 24. Velkovski D.
Coaches
Shovkovsky O.	Stimac I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Popov D. ⚽, Buyalskyy V. (A),
45', Djurasek N. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Ogundana S. ↓, Voloshyn N. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Guerrero E. ⚽, Pikhalyonok O. (A),
57', Djurasek N. ↓, Ivancic A. ↑,
57', Filipovic B. ↓, Surdanovic S. ↑,
57', Damascan V. ↓, Burey T. ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Kabaev V. ⚽,
67', 4 - 0, Buyalskyy V. ⚽, Kabaev V. (A),
67', Guerrero E. ↓, Blanuta V. ↑,
67', Buyalskyy V. ↓, Yarmolenko A. ↑,
71', Pikhalyonok O. ↓, Shaparenko M. ↑,
78', 5 - 0, Yarmolenko A. ⚽, Shaparenko M. (A),
78', Pranjic J. ↓, Cavar M. ↑,
79', Kabaev V. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
83', 6 - 0, Blanuta V. ⚽, Shaparenko M. (A),
86', Sakota M. ↓, Mikic L. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Motor Lublin Arena.

Dynamo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zrinjski is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Zrinjski has had a series of away games.

In this match, Dynamo is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Dynamo: Bilovar K. (Muscle Injury) Diallo S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Zrinjski: Kis T. (Inactive) Savic I. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Dynamo: Voloshyn N. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Dynamo Kyiv - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 69.16%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
02.11.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv	3:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
29.10.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
26.10.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Kryvbas	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Samsunspor - Dynamo Kyiv	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
18.10.25	Zorya Luhansk - Dynamo Kyiv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLT
- Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
01.11.25	Široki Brijeg - Zrinjski Mostar	1:2 ✺
Bosnian Cup
29.10.25	Romanija Pale - Zrinjski Mostar	0:2 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
27.10.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Borac Banja Luka	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Mainz - Zrinjski Mostar	1:0 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
18.10.25	Sloga Doboj - Zrinjski Mostar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

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