Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Mewa Arena (Mainz)

Referee: Robinson J. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 11
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Moldova	We Sport
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 13
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 22, Blue Sport 22
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 10
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Mainz		Zrinjski Mostar

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.5	13
	1.19	6.9	12.5
	1.27	6.04	11.72
	1.20	6.61	13.25	Watch
	1.21	6.52	15.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.17)	6.51 ↓ (6.9)	13.19 ↓ (14.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz
78.2%

Draw
14.6%

Zrinjski Mostar
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80%

13.6%

6.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	7.7%	19.2%

Mainz - Zrinjski Mostar Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). Zrinjski will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

EH +2 - Zrinjski (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mainz will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Mainz (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Zrinjski (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Zentner R. (G) 25. Hanche-Olsen A. 48. Potulski K. 31. Kohr D. 30. Widmer S. (C) 15. Maloney L. 6. Sano K. 24. Kawasaki S. 37. Bobzien B. 44. Weiper N. 14. Boving W.	18. Karacic G. (G) 19. Vranjkovic M. 5. Masic I. 55. Dujmovic D. 50. Memija K. 21. Savic I. 30. Djurasek N. 25. Cuze M. 23. Surdanovic S. 22. Pranjic J. 99. Bilbija N. (C)
Substitutes
10. Amiri N. 33. Batz D. (G) 38. Debrah J. 42. Gleiber D. 7. Lee Jae-Sung 2. Mwene P. 8. Nebel P. 9. Nordin A. 1. Riess L. (G) 23. Schopp K. 11. Sieb A. 22. Veratschnig N.	7. Burey T. 42. Cavar M. 31. Damascan V. 3. Filipovic B. 20. Ivancic A. 6. Karacic D. 40. Ljubic M. (G) 90. Majic T. 12. Mamic P. 9. Mikic L. 14. Sakota M. 24. Velkovski D.
Coaches
Henriksen B.	Stimac I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Weiper N. ⚽,
38', Savic I. 🟥,
45+2', Hanche-Olsen A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Bilbija N. 🟨,
63', Bilbija N. ↓, Burey T. ↑,
63', Pranjic J. ↓, Mikic L. ↑,
66', Boving W. ↓, Nebel P. ↑,
66', Sano K. ↓, Gleiber D. ↑,
66', Memija K. 🟨,
67', Weiper N. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
75', Surdanovic S. ↓, Cavar M. ↑,
75', Cuze M. ↓, Damascan V. ↑,
76', Kawasaki S. ↓, Mwene P. ↑,
78', Damascan V. 🟨,
87', Memija K. ↓, Majic T. ↑,
90+1', Bobzien B. ↓, Lee Jae-Sung ↑,

Preview

Mainz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zrinjski is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Mainz is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Mainz: Bos K. (Inactive) Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Tauer N. (Inactive) Weiper N. (Illness)

There will not play in Zrinjski: Burey T. (Injury) Kis T. (Inactive)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz 05
German Bundesliga
18.10.25	Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen	3:4 ✺
05.10.25	Hamburger SV - Mainz	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Omonia - Mainz	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
27.09.25	Mainz - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Augsburg - Mainz	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW
- Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
18.10.25	Sloga Doboj - Zrinjski Mostar	0:1 ✺
06.10.25	Sarajevo - Zrinjski Mostar	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Lincoln Red Imps	5:0 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
27.09.25	Velež Mostar - Zrinjski Mostar	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Rudar Prijedor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWWT

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