Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Lviv (Lviv)

Referee: Romanov V. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Dynamo Kyiv

	1	X	2
	2	3.35	3.5
	2.16	3.49	3.24	Watch
	2.23	3.33	3.12	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.16)	3.44 ↓ (3.49)	3.4 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
45.5%

Draw
27.1%

Dynamo Kyiv
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

27.1%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27.7%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Dynamo will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Dynamo (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Dynamo (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Dynamo (2.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Riznyk D. (G) 26. Konoplya Y. 4. Marlon 22. Matviienko M. 13. Henrique P. 27. Ocheretko O. 10. Pedrinho 21. Bondarenko A. 6. Marlon Gomes 11. Newerton 7. Eguinaldo	35. Neshcheret R. (G) 20. Karavaev O. 4. Popov D. 66. Thiare A. 2. Vivcharenko K. 8. Pikhalyonok O. 6. Brazhko V. 22. Kabaev V. 29. Buyalskyy V. 16. Ogundana S. 7. Yarmolenko A.
Substitutes
16. Azarovi I. 5. Bondar V. 23. Fesyun K. (G) 18. Ghram A. 20. Glushchenko A. 14. Isaque Silva 19. Kaua Elias 49. Luca Meirelles 37. Lucas Ferreira 29. Nazaryna Y. 9. Shved M. 17. Tobias V.	77. Blanuta V. 14. Burtnyk V. 44. Dubinchak V. 39. Guerrero E. 51. Morgun V. (G) 32. Mykhavko T. 91. Mykhaylenko M. 15. Rubchynskyi V. 10. Shaparenko M. 17. Torres A. 18. Tymchyk O. 5. Yatsyk O.
Coaches
Turan A.	Shovkovsky O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Eguinaldo ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
13', Marlon Gomes 🟨,
39', Thiare A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Newerton ⚽, Henrique P. (A),
55', Newerton 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Buyalskyy V. ⚽, Karavaev O. (A),
61', Ogundana S. ↓, Guerrero E. ↑,
67', Bondarenko A. ↓, Bondar V. ↑,
68', Newerton ↓, Tobias V. ↑,
75', Vivcharenko K. ↓, Mykhavko T. ↑,
75', Karavaev O. ↓, Tymchyk O. ↑,
75', Pedrinho ↓, Isaque Silva ↑,
75', Eguinaldo ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
85', Pikhalyonok O. ↓, Shaparenko M. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Kabaev V. (Own goal), Isaque Silva (A),

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 2.

Shakhtar has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dynamo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shakhtar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shakhtar won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Cup
29.10.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
26.10.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kudrivka	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
18.10.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLTL
- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Ukrainian Cup
29.10.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
26.10.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Kryvbas	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Samsunspor - Dynamo Kyiv	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
18.10.25	Zorya Luhansk - Dynamo Kyiv	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Cup
29.10.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:1
14.05.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv	2:1 penalties
Ukrainian Premier League
27.04.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv	2:2
27.10.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1
11.05.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv	1:0
03.11.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1
22.04.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1

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