Match Info

Ukrainian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Dynamo Kyiv

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.45	4.4
	1.74	3.59	4.52
	1.77	3.8	4.96	Watch
	1.6	3.45	4.35
	1.7	3.77	4.41	Watch
	1.65	3.65	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.79)	3.62 ↑ (3.42)	4.56 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
54.4%

Draw
25.4%

Dynamo Kyiv
20.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26.9%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

25.3%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Riznyk D. (G) 17. Tobias V. 5. Bondar V. 22. Matvienko M. (C) 13. Pedro Henrique 27. Ocheretko O. 29. Nazaryna Y. 6. Marlon Gomes 30. Alisson 9. Kaua Elias 77. Mendoza G.	1. Bushchan G. (G) 5. Sych O. 94. Kedziora T. 32. Mykhavko T. 44. Dubinchak V. 6. Brazhko V. 91. Mykhaylenko M. 16. Ogundana S. 10. Shaparenko M. (C) 9. Voloshyn N. 11. Ponomarenko M.
Substitutes
16. Azarovi I. 23. Fesyun K. (G) 18. Ghram A. 14. Isaque Silva 20. Karavaev O. 8. Kryskiv D. 49. Luca Meirelles 37. Lucas Ferreira 11. Newerton 68. Obah P. 2. Traore L. 24. Tsukanov V.	42. Bah K. 40. Bilovar K. 39. Guerrero E. 22. Kabaev V. 21. Lonwijk J. 99. Mounguengue P. 35. Neshcheret R. (G) 8. Pikhalyonok O. 15. Rubchynskyi V. 66. Thiare A. 18. Tymchyk O. 7. Yarmolenko A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
17', Bondar V. 🟨,
30', Mykhavko T. 🟥,
34', Ocheretko O. 🟨,
36', Voloshyn N. ↓, Thiare A. ↑,
38', Marlon Gomes 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Mendoza G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
74', 2 - 0, Isaque Silva ⚽,
80', 🟨,
87', 3 - 0, Alisson ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 3.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Shakhtar may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Shakhtar is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Shakhtar has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:20 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Shakhtar against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 19:10 goals (averaging 1.9:1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
24.10.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Inter Milan - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
17.10.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - AEK Athens	3:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
09.10.26	Veres Rivne - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWWW
- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
23.10.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Kudrivka	3:1 ✺
18.10.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Dynamo Kyiv	3:1 ✺
11.10.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Karpaty Lviv	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Zorya Luhansk - Dynamo Kyiv	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
03.05.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2
02.11.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv	3:1
Ukrainian Cup
29.10.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:1
14.05.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv	2:1 penalties
Ukrainian Premier League
27.04.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv	2:2
27.10.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1
11.05.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv	1:0

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