Match Info

RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 1

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Location: VTB Arena (Moscow)

Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 5
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Sportbox.ru


	Dynamo Moscow		Fakel

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.8	5.97
	1.69	4.06	5.7
	1.66	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.58)	3.87 ↓ (4.14)	5.56 ↓ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Moscow
57.7%

Draw
24.9%

Fakel
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

23.1%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Dynamo Moscow - Fakel Predictions

Users Predictions: Dynamo Moscow will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lunev A. (G) 80. Bessmertniy S. 10. Bitello 2. Dasa E. 74. Fomin D. 91. Gladyshev Y. 93. Laxalt D. 59. Lepskii I. 5. Majstorovic M. 13. Moumi Ngamaleu N. 70. Tyukavin K.	31. Belenov A. (G) 10. Alshin I. 7. Brahimi M. 92. Bryzgalov S. 5. Cele T. 2. Cherov V. 15. Iljin V. 33. Kvekveskiri I. 20. Markov E. 11. Motpan N. 72. Senhadji R.
Substitutes
34. Gagnidze L. 20. Grulev V. 47. Kudravets A. (G) 76. Kuptsov I. (G) 50. Kutitsky A. 31. Leshchuk I. (G) 11. Lesovoy D. 41. Nazarenko E. 88. Okishor V. 7. Skopintsev D.	14. Appaev K. 8. Bagamaev A. 77. Bagatelia L. 4. Dziov M. 1. Gudiev V. (G) 64. Ivlev A. 13. Kalinin D. 88. Masternoy V. 6. Mertens D. 21. Shchetinin M. 23. Yakimov V.
Coaches
Licka M.	Cherevchenko I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Lepskii I. ⚽, Bitello (A),
16', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
20', Majstorovic M. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Moumi Ngamaleu N. ⚽,
28', 3 - 0, Gladyshev Y. ⚽, Bitello (A),
31', Bessmertniy S. 🟨,
38', Bryzgalov S. 🟨,
39', Fomin D. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bessmertniy S. ↓, Skopintsev D. ↑,
46', Kvekveskiri I. ↓, Appaev K. ↑,
46', Iljin V. 🟨,
57', Gladyshev Y. 🟨,
64', Motpan N. 🟨,
65', Motpan N. ↓, Yakimov V. ↑,
70', Gladyshev Y. ↓, Kutitsky A. ↑,
71', Cherov V. ↓, Kalinin D. ↑,
72', Alshin I. ↓, Masternoy V. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Markov E. ⚽,
83', Lunev A. 🟨,
85', Moumi Ngamaleu N. 🟨,
86', Iljin V. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
89', Lepskii I. ↓, Gagnidze L. ↑,
90+3', Tyukavin K. ↓, Grulev V. ↑,
90+3', Bitello ↓, Okishor V. ↑,
90+7', Bryzgalov S. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dynamo M won 0.

Recent matches Dynamo M is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dynamo M could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dynamo M have a series of home games.

In this match Dynamo M is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Dynamo M won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo M won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dynamo Moscow
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Dynamo Moscow - OFK Beograd	2:0 ✺
06.07.24	Dynamo Moscow - Rodina Moscow	Canceled ✺
03.07.24	Dynamo Moscow - Partizan	2:2 ✺
30.06.24	Dynamo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TW?TL
- Fakel Voronezh
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Fakel - Rostov	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Fakel - Arsenal Tula	2:1 ✺
27.06.24	Fakel - Rostov	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
25.05.24	Fakel - Akhmat Grozny	2:0 ✺
18.05.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Fakel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
10.12.23	Fakel - Dynamo Moscow	1:1
08.10.23	Dynamo Moscow - Fakel	0:0
28.04.23	Dynamo Moscow - Fakel	0:2
30.07.22	Fakel - Dynamo Moscow	3:3
Russian FNL
06.05.17	Dynamo Moscow - Fakel	0:1
15.10.16	Fakel - Dynamo Moscow	2:1

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